QUARTER HORSE
 
-SPEED SHEET-
By Mark Lamberti

Saturday
5-23-2015

Delta Downs
Quarter Horses


 
How to use this report:
QH Speed Sheet is ranked by TPV : Total Pace Value
(Ability rating based on performance and distance)
Column Legend:
Avg D/S: Horse's Average Distance/Surface in races
Avg FPS: Average Feet-Per-Second
(All races regardless of distance)

L-FPS: Last Race Feet Per Second Speed
This figure has proven to be very predictive of in-the-money finishes. I have used this last race factor as the key to choosing between two very close and otherwise inseparable horses in a race.  Prior to this, over the summer (the prime season for quarter horse racing),  we looked at multiple factors of prediction and landed on this factor as highly predictive of best ability in a race, and thus added  this as a new element of the report. I still like to sort contenders on the Total Pace Value, but highly suggest a look at the odds board on horses with Best Last Race FPS number, even though they may be down a few lines in the list.  Value is always the key to success. L-FPS may be more useful for 2 and 3yo horses with less racing experience. While TPV is solid for older runners with far more running lines to compute.
Last Work: FPS= Feet-Per-Second / Days = Days since last work
The Last work columns are extremely valuable for maiden QH races, particularly with first-time starters.  Use FPS work tabs for evaluating ability in these races. True also for major TRIAL races. Note the RECENCY (days) since that last work! Stale work tabs are generally not predictive. Works within last 30 days preferred.
FPS ratings are predictive of best speed in a race in conditions written for OLDER horses. As is the TPV number.
When TPV and FPS ratings agree on top horse in a race, that is a very strong contender.


 
    QH SPEED SHEET                                        DEDq
                                                          2015-05-23
    By Mark Lamberti
    REFER TO OFFICIAL PROGRAM FOR HORSE PROGRAM NUMBERS
  RACE    1      400y     MC
          HORSE                     TPV     D/S   FPS   L-FPS    Last Work:
                                                                 FPS / Days
          BJS RAKIN ENCOUNTER       58     332    56.3   54.5     51.6      10
          JESS TOO BE CHIEF         53     326    56.7   55.9     55.9     105
          IM CASH MONEY             49     350    56.7   56.5     58.9      27
          HAILS BELLES              45     400    57.1   57.1     55.0      45
          SUNDOWN PATRIOT           43     333    55.3   57.7     54.1      32
          SRF FANTASTIC KNIGHT      42     356    56.6   59.2     53.2     127
          CHICKS SAINT PATRIOT      39     327    56.4   56.3     55.0      27
          STREAKN GAME PATRIOT      39     308    55.5   55.6     52.0     269
          MISS LATIFF               36     286    54.0   56.8     51.2     103
  RACE    2      250y     CL
          HORSE                     TPV     D/S   FPS   L-FPS    Last Work:
                                                                 FPS / Days
          DOVE LITE                 70     302    56.8   56.9     56.9      52
          WORLDLY GOLD              69     327    57.5   58.3     50.0      44
          SENSATIONAL GAME          67     260    55.9   57.0     52.4      85
          AGOUTI ROUGE              61     294    55.6   55.6     50.8      51
          B BOP CORONA              61     273    55.0   56.8     53.7      35
          JW MIS PAPAS FRITAS       56     336    56.5   57.4     52.8     145
          MCM FAST DASHIN GIRL      49     269    55.2   54.3     54.5     401
          SHEZASTREAKINBIGTIME      41     289    56.3   58.5     54.1       2
          COURTS CORONA             38     306    57.0   56.6     52.4      62
          TOEPICK                   34     280    55.4   55.6     52.0     103
  RACE    3      330y     MD
          HORSE                     TPV     D/S   FPS   L-FPS    Last Work:
                                                                 FPS / Days
          DASHINGPASTYA             74     330    58.2   58.2     52.4      48
          BLACK ICE                 64     315    56.8   57.9     52.8      48
          FIRST DOWN SUNDOWN        62     293    55.7   57.6     54.5      43
          SCHWEINSTEIGER            55     310    56.3   56.3     51.6     112
          JUMPN FLASHFORCASH        55     315    56.1   56.3     52.8      44
          I WANNA DASH FAST         45     330    55.6   55.6     53.2      38
          ITS WHAT IT IS            33                            52.8       8
          AN AMERICAN OUTLAW        33                            53.7      23
          IM ALL OUT                33                            50.8      24
          TOASTING DASH             32     330    50.5   50.5     53.2      43
  RACE    4      400y     AL
          HORSE                     TPV     D/S   FPS   L-FPS    Last Work:
                                                                 FPS / Days
          BJS SHINING JESS          73     344    58.8   58.0     52.0      31
          SMILE BIG TIME            70     357    58.4   56.8     58.4     126
          B AND G FAST DASH         69     347    58.5   58.1     56.9      45
          DASHING WITH COURAGE      69     392    58.9   59.7     58.9      45
          JB FIRST ROSE             68     358    58.1   57.9     51.6       6
          JLS MS POLITICALJESS      66     340    58.0   58.0     57.9      43
          SAINT LA JOLLA            62     386    59.1   59.5     54.5      60
  RACE    5      250y     MC
          HORSE                     TPV     D/S   FPS   L-FPS    Last Work:
                                                                 FPS / Days
          LIVE AND LET FLY B        43     300    55.9   57.0     58.9      27
          TEMPTING CHICO            38     304    54.0   56.6     47.1      79
          TTTDUPLICATEHALO          35     323    56.0   53.2     47.5       3
          POPS GAME PATRIOT         35     275    55.9   57.7     52.8      91
          JRS SHES HOT TONIGHT      35     302    55.8   53.7     48.2     228
          CORONA CAN ZOOM           31     294    55.6   56.9     52.0      86
          MG BLINK OF AN EYE        31     275    54.8   54.0     54.1      42
          SAN BORJAS HI             31     220    52.8   52.8     50.8      99
          ROLLINGR COMMENT 068      24     246    53.7   45.2     52.0       6
          HEZA LAUGHING             24     307    56.0   56.5     54.1     277
  RACE    6      220y     MC
          HORSE                     TPV     D/S   FPS   L-FPS    Last Work:
                                                                 FPS / Days
          COAL FIRED                52     335    58.1   57.4     53.2      35
          MISS GALILEA HI           43     315    56.4   56.6     53.7      71
          T HAMMER DOWN             39     326    57.4   58.2     52.8      21
          LEAVING HOME              32     276    55.5   56.4     52.8      22
          JRS FIRST CORONA          31     285    56.0   54.0     47.1      27
          MS WANDAS CLASSY          30     288    56.6   57.3     55.5     216
          YES SIR IM GONE           29     254    54.7   53.7     55.0      35
          KILLER CASH               28     287    56.0   54.1     51.2       7
          THECHECKSINTHEMAIL        23     330    53.8   53.8     52.4      31
          RUNAWAY MENACE            20                            50.8      24
  RACE    7      400y     ST
          HORSE                     TPV     D/S   FPS   L-FPS    Last Work:
                                                                 FPS / Days
          FIREFLY FORTUNE           109    351    58.1   60.0     47.1      42
          ICANONLYEMAGINE           103    375    59.9   59.0     58.4      45
          GAME                      96     341    58.6   57.7     54.1      51
          SHEZA GAMER               92     359    58.6   57.4     55.9      43
          DASHACROSSYOURMIND        86     360    59.2   59.7     47.1     314
          JRS MIGHTY MATTEO         86     337    57.9   58.8     47.5      30
          LOUISIANA LEGENDS         86     307    57.7   60.6     50.4      21
          EMBRUJO STAR              79     327    58.6   59.0     53.2      37
  RACE    8      250y     OC
          HORSE                     TPV     D/S   FPS   L-FPS    Last Work:
                                                                 FPS / Days
          BP CORONAS POLICY         78     357    59.1   56.8     57.4      38
          SASHAY THRU POOL          75     332    57.4   58.7     51.6     140
          MISS RUNAWAY DASH         74     343    57.5   58.8     49.3       8
          FEISTY FAVORITE           72     276    57.1   56.8     56.4      83
          JW DIVINO COMENTO         70     274    57.3   56.8     52.4     160
          BLAZE FORWARD             69     272    56.7   56.0     54.5     268
          MR SMOKEY STOVER          68     311    58.1   56.8     50.8     139
          I LOVE THIS DASH          61     285    56.7   55.0     47.1      37
          HOT HITTING               49     333    59.1   59.3     55.0      37
          RUNAWAY MYSTERY           40     289    57.3   58.4     51.6      41
  RACE    9      350y     DB
          HORSE                     TPV     D/S   FPS   L-FPS    Last Work:
                                                                 FPS / Days
          THE GOLDEN BOWL           118    356    59.2   59.3     57.9      85
          JESS A ROGUE              106    320    58.5   59.3     54.5      48
          TM DEES PRIZE             100    335    58.8   59.7     53.7      45
          WILD TYCOON               99     317    58.2   60.0     50.8     290
          WILD ON DA WHISKEY        93     328    58.1   59.0     53.7      49
          WHERES MOM                90     349    58.3   59.3     48.9     238
          JESSJINGING               82     322    57.7   59.0     53.2      96
          QUITE RIOT                77     348    58.6   59.3     53.7      67
          JESS CAROLINE             77     346    58.6   59.0     52.4      41
          TF ROWDY LIL PERRY        74     373    58.7   58.7     51.2      34
  RACE    10     440y     MC
          HORSE                     TPV     D/S   FPS   L-FPS    Last Work:
                                                                 FPS / Days
          A SPECIAL JUMPN           59     322    56.2   55.9     47.5     244
          SHEZA DASHIN DD           56     350    55.7   57.4     55.5      28
          JUMP ON DOWN              51     363    56.7   58.4     54.7      48
          SYDNEYS SPECIAL OAK       50     330    55.3   56.3     48.5     125
          MISS CORONA STREAK        45     268    54.6   53.2     52.4       3
          PUMPED UP KIKX            40     348    56.5   58.3     52.1     294
          SKUNK EM UP               33     310    54.9   52.8     54.1      43
          RT HEZA FAST HERO         33     310    54.7   56.3     50.4      66
          BAYOULAND FLASH           31     350    52.8   54.1     50.0       7
          CASHN N                   27     407    56.2   57.1     50.0       6

      

Data By Trackmaster Speed Sheet Format  by Mark Lamberti /LPC