Evangeline Downs - Thursday May 24, 2018
You don't have to be a rocket scientist to choose winners at Evangeline Downs, but it isn't child's play either. By using computer technology, TrackMaster data and handicapping know-how, you can make money at this game. We're going to do our best to send you home a lucky winner at the end of the day. Tell them to pull up the armored truck!
  • Today's Money In The Vault Horse: Race 4 - #4 STARFISH POINT (ML=2/1)

  • Today's Live Longshot: Race 2 - #3 MY BONNE MARGIE (ML=12/1)
5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating: Golden Dollar

#7 JOBAY (ML=2/1)
#2 BACK IN BUSINESS (ML=3/1)
#4 ASPEN SKY (ML=4/1)


JOBAY - Gelding is a few starts into a come back here. Should give a top effort today.This gelding is in top form right now. Finished second last time out and comes back rapidly.This gelding's last speed rating registered on May 4th is tops in last race speed ratings.BACK IN BUSINESS - This jockey and conditioner have a high winning percentage together.This gelding is rounding his way back into shape. Should run well today.have to believe this pace horse has a nice chance on this tight track. A quick move out of the gate, and this one gets position.ASPEN SKY - Moves back to a distance at which he ran a fig good enough to make him a contender today.This gelding runs very well off of a layoff.last raced at Evangeline Downs in a race with a class rating of 89. Dropping significantly in class figure in today's event puts him in a solid position today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 SI FAMILIA (ML=4/1), #1 BUXTON BOY (ML=6/1)

SI FAMILIA - Can't wager on this racer in today's sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance contest of late.BUXTON BOY - Not likely that the speed fig he garnered on May 4th will hold up in this affair.

Top HatThe Brain - JOBAY - Looks like Huval has been trying to find the right level for this horse. Took a big drop in class in last race, but returns to a similar level in this affair. What that tells me is he may win today.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Doesn't look like any horse is going to be the right price to make a straight wager

EXACTA WAGERS:

Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [2,4,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None
8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 80

Rating: Golden Dollar

#5 KENTUCKY BROWN (ML=9/5)
#3 MY BONNE MARGIE (ML=12/1)
#6 TRUST IN DIANE (ML=4/1)


KENTUCKY BROWN - Aboard this mount on May 4th and Hernandez is right back in the irons today.This horse has recorded the best recent turf speed rating at the distance and surface.Sophisticated horseplayers will tell you that this racer has strong pace.I like the piece of information that this filly's last speed figure, 81, is tops in this group.MY BONNE MARGIE - Trainer Leggio moves this thoroughbred down in class ranks to face a less competitive field. Look for a strong effort in this race.TRUST IN DIANE - This filly won at this distance on December 17th and was at a higher class than today.Took a big class drop last out, and I think she may have needed it. Richards enters her at a similar class today. I'd expect an improved performance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 GLIDE BABY GLIDE (ML=5/2), #4 BEST GUESS (ML=4/1), #2 ABENA (ML=6/1)

GLIDE BABY GLIDE - This was a live animal, but now this one hasn't been doing anything in the morning. Have to watch your step with this weaker runner.BEST GUESS - A bit of a less than stellar outing when this mare finished fifth.ABENA - You cannot keep making justifications for a thoroughbred that just doesn't win. Don't play her.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#3 MY BONNE MARGIE is the play if we get odds of 7/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

5 with [3,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [3,5,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[3,5,6] with [3,5,6] with [1,2,3,5,6] with [1,2,3,5,6] Total Cost: $36
5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,500 Class Rating: 68

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 VINTON'S VIN GEAUX (ML=5/2)
#5 MINE MINE (ML=8/1)


VINTON'S VIN GEAUX - Jockey jumped on this filly's back for the first time on April 20th. Should know the horse even better this race.Saenz should be able to place this filly right behind the front runners. Ideally, Saenz will rate behind the leaders, then surge on the turn.A repeat of that most recent effort on April 20th where she notched a speed fig of 70 looks high enough to score in this event.MINE MINE - When a pony drops at least 5 lbs (like this one is), you must take notice. It may not seem like much, but this certainly could make the difference.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 FINE N ON TIME (ML=7/2), #1 MS ADVISOR (ML=4/1), #6 THAT'S A SONG (ML=5/1)

FINE N ON TIME - 7/2 is not offering enough value for any thoroughbred in a sprint of 5 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a sprint affair of late.MS ADVISOR - Finished second in her most recent race with a substandard speed fig. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this bunch.THAT'S A SONG - This thoroughbred just hasn't looked sharp lately.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #2 VINTON'S VIN GEAUX on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None
6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 48

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 STARFISH POINT (ML=2/1)


STARFISH POINT - A racer coming back this promptly after a sharp effort is a good sign.You have to be keen on that most recent race speed rating, 52, which is the best recent race speed fig of this group.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 MOONBEAM TEAM (ML=7/2), #7 QUICK FIX (ML=4/1), #1 BECCA'S WHISPER (ML=6/1)

MOONBEAM TEAM - Today's race is 6 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance race in the last couple of months. Not the best of signals.QUICK FIX - Doesn't look to have enough positive aspects to warrant the value.BECCA'S WHISPER - She showed not much at all in the last affair.

Top HatHal - STARFISH POINT - With speed figures of 42 and 52, this noble animal is showing much improvement.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #4 STARFISH POINT to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

4 with 2

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip
8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 61

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#10 HANNAH BANANA (ML=5/1)
#2 JOANNA'S MAUK (ML=10/1)


HANNAH BANANA - The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let her get away early they probably won't catch her.Comes out of a last affair against 'open' company on May 4th and faces what I believe are easier 'state breds' today.Stretching a thoroughbred out to a route after two sprints is a classic conditioning maneuver.JOANNA'S MAUK - This mare shows a classic pattern of layoff, two sprints, and stretching to a route today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 EUNICE (ML=3/1), #3 SHESANODOUBTOPRADO (ML=9/2), #6 TIZ ONE FEE (ML=6/1)

EUNICE - This filly finished out of the money on Feb 2nd and wasn't near the winner last time out either.This probable favorite hasn't visited the track in awhile. No morning drills since last race.This steed ran a common speed fig last race out. She shouldn't run better and will likely get beat in today's race running that fig.SHESANODOUBTOPRADO - Never really did much at all in the last race on February 2nd. Hard to wager on in today's race.TIZ ONE FEE - Pace makes the race and the lack of pace means this come from behinder will have to rally without any help.will be tough for this thoroughbred to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put her on the possibly overvalued equines list.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #10 HANNAH BANANA on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None
5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 68

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 MI COPA REBOSA (ML=4/1)
#4 MY COWGIRL (ML=3/1)
#2 GOODROCKINGIRL (ML=5/1)


MI COPA REBOSA - I expect a lot from this fine animal. Her speed figures under similar conditions are tops in this group.This equine has the class to win the race. A tactical ride by Saenz, and this one could bound home the winner.MY COWGIRL - Last workout was the second fastest of the day. Definitely on edge for a good one today.This tight-track favors horses with early speed breaking from the inside. Seeing as this is what we have with this horse, I'm going to take a good look at this one.After the event aboard this animal on February 24th, the rider is going to be in tune with the filly much better.This filly is in the top spot in earnings per race entered. Take a long look at this horse in the post parade.GOODROCKINGIRL - This filly is in good condition, having run a nice race on April 28th, finishing third.last workout was the second fastest of the day. Undeniably on edge for a good one today.Horse has improved at least two speed fig points in last two races. I look for that trend to continue in today's race.You have to always check out this type of early pace setting horse with an inside post position in a sprint on a bullring.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 WIND ZEE (ML=6/1), #3 JOLIE GEE (ML=8/1), #10 LADY BELACQUA (ML=8/1)

WIND ZEE - Don't think this questionable contender has what it takes to win this time around.JOLIE GEE - Trying to beat this entrant this time around at the price of 8/1.LADY BELACQUA - Doesn't appear to be in a convenient spot in today's event.

Top HatWinston - MI COPA REBOSA - I'm making a wager on this one today. An easier level of competition is going to make a big difference. Will be strong today.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #8 MI COPA REBOSA to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass
6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 SMART PROSPECTOR (ML=5/1)
#8 DRY WOOD CREEK (ML=5/1)


SMART PROSPECTOR - TrackMaster keeps good stats on this type of information. This gelding always seems to compete well after a vacation.Another way to determine class is earnings per start. This entrant has the uppermost in the field. I think he'll be close at the finish.Ran a less than stellar race at Delta Downs last out. Racing without the off-track conditions puts this gelding at the top of my contenders list.DRY WOOD CREEK - Classic angle - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. Going to run a good one.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 CASH FOR THE SOUL (ML=4/1), #10 ETBAUER'S IDE (ML=6/1), #12 GRAND HOGA (ML=6/1)

CASH FOR THE SOUL - Speed ratings of 82/68/63 are started the wrong direction.doubtful that this animal will finish better than he did last time out of the box when placing sixth.pedestrian speed figure last time out at Evangeline Downs at 6 furlongs. Don't feel this entrant will improve too much in today's event.he's almost certainly going to get baked on the front end.ETBAUER'S IDE - This gelding raced very, very well on Apr 25th winding up fourth, but hasn't even visited the track since then. Not really a good sign.Don't believe this horse will make a winning move today. That last speed fig was quite unimpressive when compared with today's class rating.GRAND HOGA - This equine doesn't have a winner's nature. Repeatedly finishes second or third.substandard speed rating last time out at Evangeline Downs at 7 furlongs. Don't believe this racer will improve too much in today's event.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#7 SMART PROSPECTOR is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [7,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass
6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 89

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 MY PAL TORRES (ML=3/1)
#1 ROUNDABOUT ROBBIE (ML=4/1)


MY PAL TORRES - Looking at today's class figure, this thoroughbred is up against an easier bunch than last time around the track at Fair Grounds.Often a racer that runs well on the turf will adore a track with tight turns like Evangeline Downs.ROUNDABOUT ROBBIE - Gelding shipped to this track and won; now goes for back-to-back wins.A gelding like this one, almost always in the money, usually makes an excellent trifecta key horse.This animal probably isn't going to sit off the pace. He should bust out of the gate and be one of the first to hit that tight turn. Watch for him down the lane.Look at this pattern of improvement. 57/61/86 are the last three speed figs.earnings per race is something that I believe can be a very important handicapping factor. This entrant is ranked at the very top in this bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 WHERE Y'AT JOE JOE (ML=5/2), #2 TAMMANY PARKWAY (ML=5/1), #5 HALFFLATT (ML=6/1)

WHERE Y'AT JOE JOE - This probable favorite may be out of form without any recent works.TAMMANY PARKWAY - Just can't wager on this runner. Didn't show me anything in the last race or on Apr 13th.hard to put your money on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as often as this entrant does.The rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this contest when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's event. Mark this horse as a likely underlay.HALFFLATT - The fifth place finish position in the last event was not that great.most of the time I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in sprint contests in order to wager on him.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #7 MY PAL TORRES on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass
6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 81

Rating: Golden Dollar

#1 CHIEF ENVOY (ML=9/2)
#5 CALE'S GOLD (ML=5/2)
#2 G. A. BETTING (ML=7/2)
#7 WHOZ TALKIN NOW (ML=6/1)


CHIEF ENVOY - When Melancon and Bourgeois join forces on horses the winning percentage has been tremendous at 30.A pony coming back this quickly after a solid effort is a good sign.This gelding should be at the fitness peak, this far into his form cycle.This magnificent animal is at the top of my list of contenders. His early speed, along with a favorable post on this bullring, should take him far in this one.CALE'S GOLD - This pony coming off a strong race in the last month is a strong challenger in my book.Multiple victories over the surface right here at Evangeline Downs. Maybe, another trip to the winner's circle in this event.On May 12th this gelding shipped in to win and looks good right back.I like the piece of information that this gelding's last figure, 82, is tops in this field.This entrant wins a lot of dough per start. I believe he can augment that bankroll in today's race.G. A. BETTING - I like to wager on this handicapping angle, a horse coming back off a solid race within the last month.This rider and handler have a high win percentage together.I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run his best in the 3rd or 4th start back.WHOZ TALKIN NOW - Shipped in on May 4th to finish first here. Take right back again.When this jockey and handler join forces you have to take a look. Bourque and Ducoing have been great together.This thoroughbred coming off a solid try in the last 30 days is a win candidate in my humble opinion.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 CAT SUP (ML=8/1), #8 MY BUDDY CHUCK (ML=8/1)

CAT SUP - Today's race is 6 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a sprint race in the last 60 days. Not the greatest of signs.Don't think this horse will make a winning move in today's event. That last speed rating was common when compared with today's class figure.MY BUDDY CHUCK - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance contests of late. Improbable to see him doing it this time around either.Just cannot bet on this racer. Didn't show me anything positive last time around the track or on Feb 10th.common speed rating last out at Fair Grounds at 6 furlongs. Don't believe this vulnerable equine will improve too much in today's event.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Not really a race for win bets

EXACTA WAGERS:

None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

Today's Money in the Vault Horse is the horse deemed by The Turf Club Analysts to be today's most likely winner. Today's Live Longshot is the horse most likely to make an impact at big odds. On rare occasions the same horse can qualify for both distinctions. Races are rated from one to four gold coins. Four coin races are the races to wager the most money on, while one coin races should be skipped altogether or have a smaller amount wagered on them. For an extensive guide to The Turf Club Analysts reports, go to The Turf Club Analysts.

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