Woodbine - Wednesday December 6, 2017
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  • Today's Money In The Vault Horse: Race 2 - #6 ZUCKER (ML=5/2)

  • Today's Live Longshot: Race 8 - #8 FUNNY FUNNY RIDDLE (ML=12/1)
8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,200 Class Rating: 74

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 FIRST SHOT (ML=3/1)
#2 TREBEK (ML=20/1)


FIRST SHOT - Possibly a peak effort for this gelding today. Been getting closer with each recent start.I predict a perfect trip. Stalk the early speed, and make a bid on the turn.Have to make this gelding a win candidate; he comes off a nice outing on Nov 15th.TREBEK - Going on Lasix for the first time. While a conventional handicapping angle, it's still quite useful when analyzing a race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 CASTLE IN THE SKY (ML=5/2), #7 MOSCA (ML=4/1), #6 MIDRAY (ML=6/1)

CASTLE IN THE SKY - Just don't figure that he is offering enough value at the expected odds.MOSCA - 4/1 is just not enough of a price to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back efforts.MIDRAY - 6/1 is not enough of a price to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back efforts.This questionable contender ran a quite unimpressive speed figure in the last race. He shouldn't run better and will likely suffer defeat in today's event running that fig.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #8 FIRST SHOT on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass
8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,200 Class Rating: 77

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 ZUCKER (ML=5/2)


ZUCKER - Hernandez rode this racer for the initial time in the last race and comes right back this time around.Recent speed figures show dominant pattern of improvement.Ranked numero uno in earnings per race entered. Another notice that this equine has the class to win.That 79 fig this colt garnered in his last event tells me he's a key player this time around.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 COURT BATTLE (ML=3/1), #9 HAYNE'S FEVER (ML=9/2), #1 GET THE JOB DONE (ML=6/1)

COURT BATTLE - Tough to bet on at 3/1 odds after the most recent efforts.HAYNE'S FEVER - Doesn't look inspiring to me after the lack of any type of closing talent on Nov 15th.GET THE JOB DONE - This gelding showed very little last time.

Top HatThe Brain - ZUCKER - According to my advanced stats, has the speed to wire-to-wire this field. With a competent ride by Hernandez, this one may be the winner.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #6 ZUCKER on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

6 with [5,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip
7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,100 Class Rating: 88

Rating: Golden Dollar

#2 MOST INSPIRING (ML=8/5)
#6 ROYAL KATY (ML=3/1)
#3 VICTORIAN LASS (ML=20/1)


MOST INSPIRING - This filly's last rating is lofty enough to score here, I'll play her back again this time out.This filly is number one in earnings per race entered. Check out this animal in the saddling ring.ROYAL KATY - You'll be making money right and left by turning your cash onto this jock/trainer combination.It looks like Hernandez had to come to know this filly on November 18th when riding her for the first time. Back aloft again today.This animal ran out of the money at Woodbine last time around the track on the soft turf. She should improve right here on a fast track.VICTORIAN LASS - Many positive 'vibes' connected with this racer and her brain trust.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 SKY VISION (ML=9/2), #4 COREY'S BEST (ML=6/1)

SKY VISION - Doubtful for this horse to do much running with no success lately in a sprint affair.COREY'S BEST - Hasn't hit the board in any sprint contests lately. Not likely to see her doing it this time around either.hard to play at 6/1 odds after the last two efforts.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#3 VICTORIAN LASS to win at post-time odds of 8/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,3] Box [3,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [2,3,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None
6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 91

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 MECHANICAL (ML=4/1)
#7 MOON DOGGIE (ML=20/1)
#6 RUNAWAY PEPPER (ML=3/1)
#10 STREET TAIL (ML=6/1)


MECHANICAL - This gelding has been running at higher class levels previously. He did win versus better, a $10,000 Claiming race though. I believe this one is in the right spot today.The rider and trainer combination have a profitable return on investment when they join forces.MOON DOGGIE - I think the shorter trip will help this gelding stay the distance.RUNAWAY PEPPER - A thoroughbred coming back this rapidly after a strong race is a good signal.Trainer, Drexler, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today.STREET TAIL - Hernandez is back up for another contest today after sitting atop this horse for the 1st time on Nov 29th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better.That last effort must not have been too hard on this gelding for him to be able to race again so quickly.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 VIRGA (ML=9/2), #13 WICKSTEAD (ML=8/1)

VIRGA - Finished third in his most recent performance with a substandard speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this field.WICKSTEAD - I can't play this perpetual non-winner. Gets the job fulfilled occasionally.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#4 MECHANICAL is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

4 with [6,7,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

4 with [6,7,10] with [6,7,10] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

4 with [6,7,10] with [6,7,10] with [6,7,10] Total Cost: $6
6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $34,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#11 JOSEPHINE (ML=4/1)
#4 TOUCH OF EMMA (ML=5/2)


JOSEPHINE - This filly's last speed figure earned on October 29th is in the top spot in last race speed ratings.she has the uppermost EPS (earnings per start). Take a long look at this horse.TOUCH OF EMMA - Jockey jumped on this filly's back for the first try on November 10th. Should know the animal even better in today's contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SWEET INSPIRATION (ML=6/1), #7 HOPE N GLORY (ML=8/1)

SWEET INSPIRATION - The finish of sixth in the last event shows me that this horse may be getting out of condition.HOPE N GLORY - 8/1 is too low of a price to take on this participant.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #11 JOSEPHINE to win if you can get at least 6/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

11 with 4 with [2,3,5] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass
6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#14 BE THE CHANGE (ML=4/1)
#11 NORRIS LAKE (ML=20/1)
#13 ONE FOR JACK (ML=10/1)
#8 WIND WARNING (ML=20/1)


BE THE CHANGE - Drexler enters this animal in a spot where he should fit well based on his last two Equibase speed figures.Like the way this gelding's finish positions keep getting better. That's a sure sign of improving form.I like this gelding. Has the highest (EPS) earnings per start in today's event.NORRIS LAKE - Mosqueira and Sadler getting together are a handicapper's friend.Trainer Sadler moves this horse down the ladder based on class rating points to face a weaker class today. Look for a strong performance given this drop.ONE FOR JACK - You'll be generating money left and right by turning your racing money onto this jock/conditioner combination.WIND WARNING - I believe the addition of the 'hood' today will help this gelding focus his attention on racing.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 GUATEMALA CITY (ML=3/1), #9 LOOKINGFORANEWHOME (ML=6/1)

GUATEMALA CITY - Don't think this runner is worth 3/1 in this race.LOOKINGFORANEWHOME - Will be tough for this mount to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put him on the likely underlays list.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #14 BE THE CHANGE to win if we can get at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

14 with [11,13]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [11,13,14] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[11,13,14] with [11,13,14] with [6,8,11,13,14] with [6,8,11,13,14] Total Cost: $36
8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,500 Class Rating: 78

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 FORESTER'S FORUM (ML=8/1)
#2 RED CHILL (ML=4/1)
#7 KABBA (ML=12/1)


FORESTER'S FORUM - Smith brings him right back. I advise you stick with this live gelding.jockey hops up aloft after getting to know the horse by riding last race out. That's always a great angle.RED CHILL - Using this jockey/trainer combination is a smart choice.Horse has improved at least two speed rating points in last 2 races. I look for that to continue in this event.KABBA - Really think this mount is going to be very close at the finish.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 JUAN STORMY NIGHT (ML=3/1), #8 KISSOFFIRE (IRE) (ML=5/1), #5 LAKE MANITOU (ML=6/1)

JUAN STORMY NIGHT - I can't play this confirmed non-winner. Gets the job done infrequently.KISSOFFIRE (IRE) - This vulnerable equine ran a somewhat easily forgotten speed fig in the last race. He shouldn't improve and will probably suffer defeat today running that rating.LAKE MANITOU - This entrant has no victories at Woodbine.The rating last race out doesn't fit very well in this clash when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's event. Mark this thoroughbred as a possibly overvalued contestant.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #1 FORESTER'S FORUM on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,2,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,2,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[1,2,7] with [1,2,7] with [1,2,5,7,9] with [1,2,5,7,9] Total Cost: $36
7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 FUNNY FUNNY RIDDLE (ML=12/1)
#12 TRABACIOUS (ML=8/1)


FUNNY FUNNY RIDDLE - Taking a trip to a lower class level; has the form to make her presence felt.The improved Equibase speed figures over the last three races is solid. Sadler drops her in this race in great shape.TRABACIOUS - This filly has been running at higher class levels previously. She did win versus better, a $10,000 Claiming race though. I believe this one is in the right spot today.This pony coming off a sharp try in the last month is a contender in my book.Last ran at Woodbine and finished fourth. Reviewing her PP lines, I see she was close at the end, within five of the winner.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 A MANS DRINK (ML=3/1), #10 POLY ANNA (ML=4/1)

A MANS DRINK - Usually I need a sprinter to have some recent success in sprint races in order to back her.I normally try to beat this kind of chalk. Extended vacation and no drop in level of competition.POLY ANNA - Should be difficult for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put her on the likely underpriced contenders list.May bounce off of that last extreme effort.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Put your money on #8 FUNNY FUNNY RIDDLE on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [8,12]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

Today's Money in the Vault Horse is the horse deemed by The Turf Club Analysts to be today's most likely winner. Today's Live Longshot is the horse most likely to make an impact at big odds. On rare occasions the same horse can qualify for both distinctions. Races are rated from one to four gold coins. Four coin races are the races to wager the most money on, while one coin races should be skipped altogether or have a smaller amount wagered on them. For an extensive guide to The Turf Club Analysts reports, go to The Turf Club Analysts.

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