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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 5:13 PM EASTERN POST

The Affirmed Success Stakes

6.0 FURLONGS DIRT FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

#3 RECTIFY
#13 WEEKEND HIDEAWAY
#11 CANDID DESIRE
#2 MARRIEDTOTHEMUSIC

The AFFIRMED SUCCESS, inaugurated in 2012, is named for the New York-bred who won the 1998 Vosburgh, 1999 Cigar Mile, and 2002 Carter. Owned and bred by Al Fried, Jr., In his career, Affirmed Success won 17 of 42 starts and earned more than $2.2 million. Here in the 6th running of "The Success," #3 RECTIFY, a 6-1 shot, is the pace profile leader, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in four of his last five outings, winning twice in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Jose Ortiz has been in his irons on one previous occasion, posting a win, en route to a +375% return on investment in the process, and Ortiz is here in Elmont this afternoon on "Opening Day," for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips." The 4-1 shot, #13 WEEKEND HIDEAWAY qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," has also hit the board in four of his respective last five starts, with three of those "board hit efforts," including a win in his 5th race back, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS."



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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.



Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 37

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 SHANDONG DJ DRAGON 5/2

# 2 LILTON MISS TILTON 9/2

# 6 GRANDMA'S GHOST 3/1

I think SHANDONG DJ DRAGON is a very good choice. Win percentage with this jock and handler combo - 15 percent - reliable. LILTON MISS TILTON - Should go to the front end and should never look back. Don't let this filly slip past you. Could prove victorious at boxcar odds. GRANDMA'S GHOST - Earning some good dough in dirt route contests.



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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Emerald Downs

Emerald Downs - Race 1

$1 Daily Double /$1 Exacta /$.50 Trifecta $.10 Superfecta /$.50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) .50 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4) $.20 Pick 7 (Races 1-2-3-4-5-6-7)

 

Claiming $4,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 69 • Purse: $6,600 • Post: 6:35P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds

Race Type: Dominant Trailer. WEB OF DEMONS is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WEB OF DEMONS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. ARVIAT BAY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1
WEB OF DEMONS
8/5
9/5
5
ARVIAT BAY
5/2
5/1
 
 

P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
5
ARVIAT BAY
5
5/2
Alternator/Front-runner
69
67
65.4
63.5
60.5
4
THAT'S NOT FAIR
4
5/1
Trailer
59
58
57.2
56.6
49.1
1
WEB OF DEMONS
1
8/5
Alternator/Trailer
72
70
76.4
69.6
65.6
2
CALL ME NEVER
2
9/2
Alternator/Non-contender
59
49
58.8
51.2
43.2
3
SWISS CAUSE
3
7/2
Alternator/Non-contender
58
51
33.2
53.1
46.1
 
 


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Bar

Evangeline Downs - Race #3 - Post: 6:34pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 61

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 BARON'S REBELLION (ML=4/1)


BARON'S REBELLION - This jock and trainer have a high win percentage together. Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. At the top of the lane, he will have a good shot. Has much pace, and the bullring will work in his favor.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 DUDE GREELEY (ML=3/1), #3 TATUMTOWN (ML=5/1), #5 HALO REDDING (ML=5/1),

DUDE GREELEY - This vulnerable equine hasn't been close at the wire lately. TATUMTOWN - Should have at least hit the board in the last couple of months in a short distance contest to be worth it at minimal odds in a sprint. HALO REDDING - Unlikely for this horse to do much running with no recent success in a short distance race. This gelding hasn't been showing me anything in the last couple of efforts.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - BARON'S REBELLION - Has been racing regularly since a mini 'vacation'. By my calculations, horses hit their peak cycle in their 3rd or 4th race back. Watch out for this one in today's race.
 
 
 


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#4 BARON'S REBELLION is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

4 with 5

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



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Bar

Keeneland - Race #6 - Post: 3:51pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 BAJAN CASH (ML=9/2)
#4 JUST DUE (ML=6/1)
#5 GOT IT (ML=7/2)


BAJAN CASH - This jockey and trainer have a positive return on investment when they combine forces. JUST DUE - This jockey/conditioner duo has been producing a very profitable ROI, right at +27. I have to believe that this shorter distance should help this gelding. GOT IT - This fine animal should be rocking and rolling down the lane.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 LIFELONG DREAMER (ML=3/1), #7 HUGH B. (ML=7/2), #6 PRIVATE TIME (ML=4/1),

LIFELONG DREAMER - This chalk horse probably needs at least one race to get back into shape. Pass on him today. HUGH B. - This gelding finished off the board on Feb 16th and wasn't near the winner last time around the track either. PRIVATE TIME - In the last race this horse finished eighth. Doesn't look good for his chances this time out. Finished eighth in his most recent performance with a somewhat easily forgotten speed rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this group.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #1 BAJAN CASH to win if you can get odds of 4/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,4,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,4,5] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.



Race 9 - Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $11400 Class Rating: 82

QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 GOTTA SNIP 3/1

# 1 DRINKIN AND SWINGIN 6/1

# 6 MR EL R 15 8/1

I've got to go with GOTTA SNIP. Boasts sound speed figures on average overall when put alongside the rest of this group of horses in this race. I like Wainscott on this gelding to give him a quite good chance to hit the wire first. Ought to compete very well in the pace battle which bodes well with this field. DRINKIN AND SWINGIN - He has to be carefully examined given the strong speed figures. Is a contender - given the 70 speed figure from his most recent race. MR EL R 15 - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Martinezescobe have shown strong results recently. With a solid ROI of +32 this trainer has shown strong results with entries running at this distance and surface.



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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunray Park

Sunray Park - Race 8

First Half Late Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta Second Leg Pick 3 / Third Leg Pick 4

 

Claiming $8,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 76 • Purse: $7,600 • Post: 5:48P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000 (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY PREFERRED).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds

Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * VF CORONA AIR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. EL VALLE DE ORO: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. MS ELEGANT EYES: Horse has a Trac kMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. PYC SHOWDOWN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LION SPEED: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6
VF CORONA AIR
4/1
5/1
8
EL VALLE DE ORO
3/1
6/1
5
MS ELEGANT EYES
8/1
7/1
4
PYC SHOWDOWN
9/2
8/1
3
LION SPEED
5/1
10/1
 
 

P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
1
SMOKIN BODASH
1
10/1
Slow
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
JESSYS SOUTHERN LADY
2
6/1
Slow
0
0
7.6
0.0
0.0
3
LION SPEED
3
5/1
Average
79
71
4.3
0.0
0.0
4
PYC SHOWDOWN
4
9/2
Slow
81
71
6.4
0.0
0.0
5
MS ELEGANT EYES
5
8/1
Average
76
80
4.3
0.0
0.0
6
VF CORONA AIR
6
4/1
Slow
80
79
6.9
0.0
0.0
7
BLAZING MIRACLE
7
7/1
Average
64
68
5.7
0.0
0.0
8
EL VALLE DE ORO
8
3/1
Average
84
78
5.2
0.0
0.0
 
 


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