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Picking winners with a flourish at
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Kawartha Downs
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for Thursday, April 7, 2011
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Please remember to always check
program numbers. Odds shown are morning line.
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Race 1 - Post:
4:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 63
- Purse:$6,500 - 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER. F & M. NW OF 1 RACE OR $10,000 LIFE.
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CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# AE1 BY EXPRESS 0/1
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# 9 KESONS ALLURE 9/2
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# 5 SHADYS ART 7/2
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BY EXPRESS sure does look ready to score. She's performing in good form, recording sharp TrackMaster Speed Ratings. An excellent pick. Good for a win wager just off the stellar prior class figures. Have to like this horse. This race horse recorded a competitive TrackMaster Speed Rating in last race. Looks in good form to come right back.
KESONS ALLURE - She has been battling soundly and the TrackMaster Speed Ratings are among the best in the group of horses. Seems to have a very nice class advantage based on the company she has raced against.
SHADYS ART - 75 percent of the time this trainer and horse team end up in the money. Big players in this contest.
Race 2 - Post:
4:20 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 77
- Purse:$7,000 - NW OF 2 RACES OR $25,000
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CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# 9 LUCERO 8/1
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# 6 CHAT CHAT 5/2
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# 1 ROAD SENSE 6/1
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All signs point to LUCERO for the selection and is a really good value bet given the line at 8/1. Feel the need for speed, this entrant has been turning in some outstanding speed ratings averaging around 80. Enters this race with good TrackMaster class stats as compared to the race - could be worth a shot. Certainly should be given a look based on the good TrackMaster Speed Rating achieved in the most recent gathering.
CHAT CHAT - When Henriksen sends this contender out you can bet they'll hit the board, percentages show them there 89 percent of the time. Take a look at this horse's average speed statistic of 79 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a very nice wager.
ROAD SENSE - Is a formidable win contender given the 79 speed fig from her most recent competition.
Race 3 - Post:
4:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 79
- Purse:$5,600 - FILLIES & MARES. CLAIMING $7,500 W/A. ALSO ELIGIBLE: WHITESAND MERLOT
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CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# 9 WINDSUN RAIN 5/2
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# 7 LADY LUCK KILLEAN 7/2
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# 8 MACHO CHICK 4/1
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WINDSUN RAIN looks very nice to best this field of horses. Exhibits the look of a profitable play, averaging a nifty 81 TrackMaster Speed Rating. Most definitely the class of the bunch with an average rating of 82. A nice selection. Has to be given a look based on the really strong speed fig earned in the most recent outing.
LADY LUCK KILLEAN - This nice horse looks strong. Look at the 81 average TrackMaster Speed Rating. Should be considered for this race if only for the respectable speed fig recorded in the most recent race.
MACHO CHICK - This standardbred looks strong considering the high class ratings. Don't toss out of any exotics.
Race 4 - Post:
5:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 76
- Purse:$6,500 - 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER. C & G. NW OF 1 RACE OR $10,000 LIFE.
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CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# 9 TOTAL LIABILITY 7/2
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# 4 THEBESTOFJOEL 5/2
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# 1 NPR 4/1
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The consensus for this race is that TOTAL LIABILITY is the one to beat. The brain trust knows that speed is King in harness racing. This standardbred will unlock our way to a nice win. That 76 TrackMaster Speed Rating clocked in the most recent outing puts this fine animal in the mix in here.
THEBESTOFJOEL - Has competitive TrackMaster Speed Ratings and unquestionably has to be thought of for a bet here. With a nice 80 TrackMaster SR last time out, will quite possibly be a factor in this competition.
NPR - Comes into this race with good TrackMaster class figures relative to the group of animals - could be worth a shot. Wallace's entrant takes a move up in class. The trainer stats tell us this, gelding's in a spot to win.
Race 5 - Post:
5:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81
- Purse:$5,600 - HORSES & GELDINGS. CLAIMING $7,500 W/A. ALSO ELIGIBLE: LIFE OF EASE
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CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# 2 LITTLE STEVIE 5/2
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# AE1 LIFE OF EASE 0/1
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# 7 BUFFALO ROME 7/1
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The selection in this one is LITTLE STEVIE. Worth looking at here given the ratings in the speed rating department alone. More than likely the class of the field of starters with an average rating of 84. A nice selection. Many analyzers will recognize the fantastic TrackMaster speed fig in the last race. Stacks up against any horse in this grouping.
LIFE OF EASE - Should be in the hunt again today, looking to improve that already high lifetime winning figure. This race horse and Pryjma have a very good relationship. In the money clip for this duo is high.
BUFFALO ROME - His 82 average has this gelding among the best speed ratings for this race. A very good class horse shouldn't be be passed over. With an avg class number of 83 all signs point to yes.
Race 6 - Post:
5:40 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 89
- Purse:$9,500 - NW OF $100,000 LIFE.
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CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# 2 LANCE HALL 4/1
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# 1 SMOKIN DABRA 5/2
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# 6 MYSTIC CONQUEST 9/2
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If you want a great play in this event, feast your eyes on LANCE HALL. Worth considering here looking at the statistics in the speed rating department alone. A really strong win percent has been earned by horses starting from the 2 position. Gelding and trainer go together like gin and tonic. They finish in the money 68 percent of their races.
SMOKIN DABRA - Good for a win wager just off the outstanding prior class figures. Have to like this fine animal. Had one of the finest TrackMaster Speed Ratings of the race in his last gathering. A good idea to use in your wagers.
MYSTIC CONQUEST - Should be considered in this one if only for the really good TrackMaster Speed Rating achieved in the last race. Take a good look at making this horse your win wager based on high win statistic alone.
Race 7 - Post:
6:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 85
- Purse:$9,500 - FILLIES & MARES. NW OF $4,000 L.3.S. AE: NW 2 RACES L.6.S. AE: OPTIONAL CLAIMING $20,000 W/A.
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CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# 5 AWESUM BEST 3/1
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# 2 DELICIOUSLYNAUGHTY 4/1
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# 1 DOINSOMETHINGRIGHT 9/2
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Really keen on the probability of AWESUM BEST taking down the winner's share in this one. Hard to put finger on it, but lean toward her for this race. It's tricky to consider solely based on class, but this mare has among the best class ratings of the group of animals. Considered a solid wager based solely on her high ultimate prize stat.
DELICIOUSLYNAUGHTY - Worth thinking about here given the figures in the TrackMaster Speed Rating department alone. This interesting entrant looks dangerous considering the high class figures. Don't toss out of any exotics.
DOINSOMETHINGRIGHT - Substantial driver/trainer ratings make this fine animal a very compelling choice. Surely will be putting some profits down in this contest. Baker and Newberry have a respectable working relationship. Great results from their contests.
Race 8 - Post:
6:20 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 86
- Purse:$8,000 - NW OF $3,000
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CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# 7 ITS ON MY TAB 6/1
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# 6 STOIC 3/1
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# 8 PERSEVERANDO 5/2
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ITS ON MY TAB is the strongest bet in this contest. The 87 average class rating may give this gelding a distinct advantage in the pack. Don't count out this contender, especially with Macdonald in the bike. In the top three rate is solid.
STOIC - A formidable play in here as he has one of the highest winning percentages in the field as well as tremendous credentials all around.
PERSEVERANDO - With one of the finest drivers in terms of crossing the wire first, don't count this horse out of the race. Could be the finest in the pack here, showing competitive ratings of late. Average speed is a solid 89.
Race 9 - Post:
6:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 85
- Purse:$7,500 - NW OF $1,000 L.3.S. AE: OPTIONAL CLAIMING $12,000 W/A. AE: NOT AVERAGING $800.00 PER START IN 2011.
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CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# 2 RUNAWAY ENERGY 5/2
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# 4 INTENDED STYLE 4/1
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# 6 NAKED NEWS 3/1
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Feel pretty confident putting some green stuff down on RUNAWAY ENERGY. Positive feel - racing well enough to contend in this gathering. This contest may be controlled by this gelding. One look at the avgerage speed rating will confirm that. With a 88 avg class ranking, this fine animal has one of the most competitive class advantages in the group.
INTENDED STYLE - Certainly should be given a look based on the really good TrackMaster Speed Rating earned in the most recent race. Have a feeling this one might steal here.
NAKED NEWS - Had one of the finest TrackMaster SRs of the grouping in his last contest. I'd recommend using in your wagers. Win figure for this driver-conditioner is a sparkling 20 percent - excellent probability.
Race 10 - Post:
7:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78
- Purse:$4,500 - HORSES & GELDINGS. CLAIMING $6,000 W/A.
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CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# 1 JACOBS WESTERN 5/2
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# 5 GRINFROMHARETOTHER 7/2
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# 3 JACKSON COUNTY 3/1
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Really keen on the probability of JACOBS WESTERN taking down the winner's share this time. The panel of smart guys knows that speed is very important in harness racing. This nice horse will unlock our way to a nice top prize. This standardbred has shown us some prior ability, just look at the 81 avg class figure. Should play well for this race. If effort in the most recent race is any indicator, this entrant will have a very respectable shot this time. High last race speed rating.
GRINFROMHARETOTHER - Take a good long look at making this horse your win wager based on well above average win percent alone.
JACKSON COUNTY - This interesting entrant looks dangerous considering the high class numbers. We wouldn't recommend tossing out of any exotics. The handicapping team noted a sharp affair out of this interesting entrant last time. Hoping for a repeat of that to take the whole enchilada.
Race 11 - Post:
7:20 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 77
- Purse:$4,500 - CLAIMING $6,000 W/A.
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CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# 2 GALLANTLY 5/1
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# 7 CAVIARS DREAM 9/2
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# 3 COWBOYS LIKE US 5/2
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GALLANTLY is the most solid bet in this gathering. Can't forget based on speed figures which have been great (82 avg) recently. This fine animal has shown us ability in its prior races, just look at the 83 avg class figure. Should play well today.
CAVIARS DREAM - With a 81 avg class figure, this nice horse has one of the best class edges in the group. A very good play in here as he has one of the highest winning statistics in the race as well as strong credentials all around.
COWBOYS LIKE US - The wagering panel has Henriksen on its list of drivers who are blazing hot these days. Last 30 days win clip is outstanding. Could most likely better this race given the 69 TrackMaster SR achieved in his most recent race.
Race 12 - Post:
7:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 71
- Purse:$5,500 - CLAIMING $8,500 W/A. F & M. FOR NW OF $36,000 LIFE.
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CONSORTIUM CHOICES
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# 8 ANOTHER COWGIRL 7/2
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# 2 NO TEASING ME 3/1
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# 4 THEBESTOFMAGIC 5/2
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ANOTHER COWGIRL is the clear stand out bet in the eyes of the brain trust. Take a look at this nice horse's average speed rating of 76 and compare to today's class rating. Looks like a good wager. It's somewhat dicey to consider based only on class, but this mare has among the best class ratings of the group. Should be considered this time if only for the competitive speed fig recorded in the last race.
NO TEASING ME - She's competing in good form, recording huge speed figures. An excellent contender. Good for a win wager just off the excellent prior class ratings. Have to like this race horse.
THEBESTOFMAGIC - Worth considering in this one if only for the really good TrackMaster Speed Rating earned in the last competition.
