TODAY'S WEATHER AT AQUEDUCT RACE COURSE
NEW FEATURE: I am now including the "PAR TIMES" for each race as part of this graded selection column. The "Par Time" is the average winning time for today's race, at this class level, at this distance at Aqueduct Race Course. The data is based on winning times stored in the TrackMaster Data Base for THE LAST FIVE YEARS! Comparing current times recorded by today's entries to these "Par Times" may be a valuable handicapping aid!
| RACE | PAR TIME |
| 1 | 1:10.41 |
| 2 | 1:40.69 |
| 3 | N.A. |
| 4 | 1:13.64 |
| 5 | 1:44.26 |
| 6 | 1:45.42 |
| 7 | 1:40.69 |
| 8 | 1:37.69 |
| 9 | 1:11.76 |
NOTE: Why 4 selections in many races? Aqueduct offers Superfecta wagering on the last race daily. Also, the 4th selection is often a longshot with a reasonable chance of hitting the board, as well as providing a viable alternative in case of a scratch.
NOTE: ALL RACES TO BE CONTESTED TODAY ON THE "WINTERIZED" INNER TRACK
#7 CAVALLO PAZZO
#2 API MOHKAT
#6 INDIAN WAR DANCE
#2 API MOHKAT
#7 CAVALLO PAZZO takes a class drop (-3), and is both the speed and pace profile leader in this claiming field sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has produced "POWER RUNS" in each of his last five outings, facing better company in each of those races than he will face in this field today. Jockey Sheldon Russell and Trainer Anthony Dutrow send him "postward" for the "Thursday Opener" ... they've hit the board with 62% of their entries saddled as a team to date.
#6 SAY NEW YORK SANDY
#8 SARATOGIAN
#1 BRITE GIN
#2 TURBO TIM
#6 SAY NEW YORK SANDY has produced "POWER RUNS" in both of his last two outings, including a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in his last start, in a race which was contested at today's TrackMaster PLUS Class Level of 76. #8 SARATOGIAN is the pace profile leader in this maiden field racing at today's distance of a mile on the dirt.
#1 MALIBU MOONSHINE
#2 HIGH BLUES
#4 SUCCESSFUL AFFAIR
#5 UNDOCUMENTED
#1 MALIBU MOONSHINE has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his last five starts, hitting the board in three, including a "POWER RUN WIN" facing better company (+3) in his last start. #2 HIGH BLUES qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," takes a class drop (-6), and is the speed leader in this O.C. field racing at, or about, today's distance of 13.0 furlongs on the dirt.
#2B TRUE INTENT
#4 EAGER FOR ACTION / #4X ISYOUIS
#7 JAIMIES GEM
#1 GRIF'S CORNER
NO COMMENT ON THIS RACE
#7 GALLANT AGAIN
#1 EL CHILE DOG
#3 SEA OF TREES
#6 RIVER MOUNTAIN RD
#7 GALLANT AGAIN takes a class drop (-2), and is the speed leader in this claiming field today, and has been a "POWER RUN PERFORMER" in five straight, hitting the board in four of those outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 2nd race back, in a race that was contested at today's TrackMaster PLUS Class Level of 102. #1 EL CHILE DOG has hit the board in two of his last three outings, winning his last race. Jockey Ramon Dominguez was in his irons for that win, 10 days ago here at "The Big-A," and Dominguez returns today for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips."
#3 VALID SUM
#7 BINDLE STICK
#6 COUNTRY TRICK
#2 TWISTED DREAM
#3 VALID SUM is the only entry in this maiden field showing a "POWER RUN" in this field's collective last start. Jockey Eddie Castro and Trainer Kiaran McLaughlin send him to the post today ... they've hit the board with an even 50% of their entries saddled as a team to date. He is out of the Street Cry lineage, whose progeny have hit the board in 44% of nearly 1,000 combined lifetime starts to date. I also note that he will be racing on LASIX for the 2nd time today.
#4 SHE'S MY FORTUNE
#6 CARPATHIAN
#1 THUNDER REIGNS / #1A A P GRACIE
#2 SAGE THE RAGE
#4 SHE'S MY FORTUNE takes a class drop (-6), and is the speed leader in this claiming field racing at the mile distance on the dirt, and has produced a trio of "POWER RUNS" in her last four outings, and goes to the post with the skills of the Jockey/Trainer tandem of Ramon Dominguez and Anthony Dutrow in her corner ... they've hit the board with 62% of their entries saddled as a team to date.
#3 ALL IN NO OUTS
#8 JUDGE WILLIAM
#5 NORTHERN BUSTER
#4 MASALA T
#3 ALL IN NO OUTS has hit the board in four of his last five outings, winning twice, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his last start. Jockey "Rosie" Napravnik and Trainer Dom Galluscio send him to the post this afternoon ... they've hit the board with 58% of their entries saddled as a team to date, producing a +15% return on investment in the process.
#11 KAPTAIN
#7 BRAHMINICAL
#4 CHAYSEN' ALEX
#8 THE SPANISH LIFE
NO COMMENTS ON THIS RACE
Disclaimer: Every attempt has been made to insure accuracy, however since this report is prepared and typed by hand, errors, including typographical and numerical, can be made. It is the responsibility of the end user to "cross check" these selections against the actual entries and program numbers.
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TODAY'S BEST BET: #7 CAVALLO PAZZO - RACE #1 TODAY'S BEST VALUE BET #1 MALIBU MOONSHINE - RACE #3 TODAY'S BEST LONGSHOT: #7 GALLANT AGAIN - RACE #5 TODAY'S BEST "BOXED EXOTIC" WAGERING OPPORTUNITY: RACE #8 |
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RACE #3: #2 HIGH BLUES |
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Starting Date: 01/01/2009
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NOTES ON CLASS: The TrackMaster PLUS software uses a sophisticated mathematical formula to calculate the "class" of a particular race. It is important to note that this calculation is NOT based on purse structure, but on the competitive level of the entries in today's field. Therefore, it is possible (and not uncommon), that an entry may be racing for a higher purse today than in his or her last race, but in a "TrackMaster Sense" is dropping in class, because the overall abilities of the entries in today's race are not as competitive as the entries in his or her last race. The TrackMaster class scale is numeric, and basically ranges from 50 to 100, and is particularly helpful in judging entries that are "shipping" in from another track. In my analysis of a race, I often note that an entry is "dropping in class," or "stepping up in class." Following this statement, you will see a (number in parenthesis). The value of that particular number indicates the degree of the class change. EXAMPLE: "#4 SIN CITY takes a fairly significant class drop (-8) this evening." This indicates that this entry is dropping by 8 TrackMaster Class Levels from his or her last race. It does not necessarily mean that this entry is racing for a lower purse, only racing against a less competitive field.
NOTES: I frequently use the term, "POWER RUN" in this column. It is my terminology for a previous race run at a speed, which if duplicated today, should compete for the winner's circle at the class level in which the entry is competing today. Space requirements do not allow for a thorough discussion of this calculation, however, if you would like a short essay on how the "POWER RUN" is calculated, kindly send me some EMAIL at rneedham1@yahoo.com and I'll send you a copy of my "POWER RUN" file.
TRIVIA NOTE: "TrackMaster Rick" Needham is the "oldest" Thoroughbred Racing Handicapper on the "INTERNET!" His selections began appearing back in 1982 when our current Internet System was just a "Figment of imagination" of the current operating systems ... he was the "creator," and SYSOP (Systems Operator) for both The Sports Forum and The Science and Mathematics Forum on the Compuserve Network, and posted his selections from The NYRA and Southern California Circuits on a daily basis some 20 years ago! These selections continue via Equibase/TrackMaster today!
RACE #3: #1 CORY'S RODEO, an 8-1 shot, takes a BIG class drop, (-22), and has decent speed for this 5.0 furlong sprint.
RACE #8: The 8-1 shot, #2 DUBAI FALCON, drops in class (-9), and is the speed leader in this field tonight sprinting at the "specialized distance" of 7.0 furlongs on the dirt.
RACE #4: The 10-1 BOMB, qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," and has nice speed for tonight's 7.0 furlong sprint.
RACE #5: #11 LORD CALVERTON, a 6-1 shot, qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," takes a class drop (-20) and has good speed for this 8½ furlong route test on the dirt.
a. Odds are 4-1 - or higher
b. The entry must be the TOP POWER RATED entry in the field
c. The entry must also have the BEST SPEED in this field for today's distance and surface!
d. The entry has raced in the last 25 days - no extended layoffs allowed!
NOTE: Listed Post Times are given in the local time zone of the track.
Aqueduct - Race #6 - 3:25PM - #7 BINDLE STICK 10/1
Gulfstream Park - Race #2 - 1:44PM - #7 MASTERWORK 6/1
