TODAY'S WEATHER AT HOLLYWOOD PARK
NEW FEATURE: I am now including the "PAR TIMES" for each race as part of this graded selection column. The "Par Time" is the average winning time for today's race, at this class level, at this distance at Hollywood Park. The data is based on winning times stored in the TrackMaster Data Base for THE LAST FIVE YEARS! Comparing current times recorded by today's entries to these "Par Times" may be a valuable handicapping aid!
NOTE: Hollywood Park has recently replaced their conventional dirt racing surface with a product manufactured in England know as "Cushion Track," which is a waxed synthetic surface manufactured from a combination of synthetic fibers, elastic fiber and granulated rubber - all coated with a specially formulated blend of wax and mixed with silica. Comments below mentioning "dirt" reflect this racing surface!
| RACE | PAR TIME |
| 1 | 1:40.99 |
| 2 | 1:44.10 |
| 3 | 1:23.73 |
| 4 | 1:10.53 |
| 5 | 1:22.70 |
| 6 | 1:33.97 |
| 7 | 1:16.90 |
| 8 | 1:38.97 |
| 9 | 1:04.18 |
| 10 | 1:17.63 |
NOTE: Why 4 selections in many races? Hollywood Park offers Superfecta Wagering on many races daily - also ... my 4th choice is often a legitimate LONGSHOT with a chance of hitting the board ... the 4th selection also provides a viable wagering option when other contenders are scratched.
NOTE: Hollywood Park has recently replaced their conventional dirt racing surface with a product manufactured in England know as "Cushion Track," which is a waxed synthetic surface manufactured from a combination of synthetic fibers, elastic fiber and granulated rubber - all coated with a specially formulated blend of wax and mixed with silica. In my reports, mention of "dirt" will refer to this artificial surface.
#5 AUNT PINK
#3 BARTOK'S BLING
#1 LUPITA'SLUCKYANGEL
#4 BEYOND THE MARK
#5 AUNT PINK is the speed leader in this optional claiming field racing at, or about, today's distance of 8½ furlongs on the turf, drops in class (-2), and has been a "POWER RUN PERFORMER" in each of her last five starts, hitting the board in three of those outings. #3 BARTOK'S BLING is the pace profile, and has hit the board in four of her last five starts, winning twice, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 2nd race back. Jockey Garrett Gomez has been on her irons on two previous occasions, posting a win and a place finish en route to a +215% return on investment in the process, and is back today for his 3rd ride.
#7 HIGH INVESTMENT
#3 KICKIN CAPER
#1 BROTHER PEGASUS
#10 ROCK CREEK PASS
#7 HIGH INVESTMENT, a 5-1 shot, has hit the board in four straight, with thee of these efforts also qualifying as "POWER RUNS." #3 KICKIN CAPER is also 5-1 in the morning line, and comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN PLACE" finishes, missing her "diploma" in her last start, but just a "photographed neck" at the wire in a determined attempt to break his maiden in a race that was contested at today's TrackMaster PLUS Class Level of 93.
#3 GOOD MAN DAN
#7 TRANSVAAL SCOTTISH
#5 KINDACATCHY
#2 TOUGH CONTENDER
#3 GOOD MAN DAN qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," takes a class drop (-12) and is the speed leader in this claiming field sprinting at today's "specialized distance" of 7.0 furlongs on the "dirt," and has been a "POWER RUN PERFORMER" in five straight, hitting the board in three of those outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 4th race back. Jockey Tyler Baze and Trainer Doug O'Neill send him to the post today ... they've hit the board with an even 50% of more than 100 entries saddled as a team to date.
#7 BOLD CLEO
#1 O BEE NAKI
#2 HIGH SPEED GOLDIE
#6 IN MY LIFE
#7 BOLD CLEO has hit the board in five straight starts, winning twice, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 2nd race back. #1 O BEE NAKI is the pace profile leader, and comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in her last two starts, and has hit the board in three of her last four outings overall.
#9 TWELVE TWENTY TWO
#4 B R'S GIRL
#5 COUNTY STORM
#3 WICKED DELIGHT
#9 TWELVE TWENTY TWO comes off a "POWER RUN SHOW" finish in her last start, which is in fact, the only "POWER RUN" which can be found in this maiden field's collective last start. #4 B R'S GIRL is the morning line favorite, posted a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in her 2nd race back ... she's a daughter of Pulpit, whose progeny have hit the board in 42% of more than 3,200 combined lifetime starts to date.
#6 INDESCRIBABLE
#8 ANGEL CRAFT
#1 NOOTKA ISLAND
#3 HONNETE
#6 INDESCRIBABLE has hit the board in each of her last three starts, winning twice, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her last start. #8 ANGEL CRAFT takes a class drop, and is both the speed and pace profile leader in this allowance field, and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in four of her last five starts, hitting the board in three of those outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 3rd race back.
#7 OCEANOGRAPHY
#4 BANNER LODGE
#5 SPANKEY COME HOME
#3 JUST JULIAN
#7 OCEANOGRAPHY qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," is the pace profile leader in this maiden field sprinting at, or about, 6½ furlongs on the "dirt," and comes off a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in her last start, missing "The Circle" by just a "photographed neck" at the wire in a determined attempt to break his maiden. #4 BANNER LODGE comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN SHOW" finishes in his two career starts to date. He's out of the Chester House lineage, whose progeny have hit the board in 44% of more than 1,500 combined lifetime starts to date.
#12 CITRONNADE
#4 BLACK MAMBA
#2 MERIBEL
#11 LIVE LIFE
#12 CITRONNADE has been a "POWER RUN PERFORMER" in five straight, hitting the board in four of those outings, including a trio of "POWER RUN WINS" embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey David Flores and Trainer Robert Frankel send her to the post this afternoon ... they've hit the board with 57% of their entries saddled as a team to date. #4 BLACK MAMBA is 5-1 in the morning line, is the pace profile leader, and has hit the board in four straight, winning in her 4th race back. This New Zealand bred entry is sent to the post for the "Sunday Feature" this afternoon with the skills of the Jockey/Trainer tandem of Tyler Baze and John Sadler in her corner ... they've hit the board with 58% of their entries saddled as a team to date.
#7 PHOEBE'S SONG
#5 CAPTURE THE CAT
#3 THEMIS VALENTINE
#1 MA KA BET
#7 PHOEBE'S SONG is the pace profile leader in this allowance field sprinting at, or about, today's distance of 5½ furlongs on the "dirt," and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three of her last five starts overall. #5 CAPTURE THE CAT has hit the board in two of her last three starts overall, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 2nd race back .. she's taking a slight class drop (-1) this afternoon.
#1A WARREN'S HONEY
#3 ALL DONE UP
#4 DANCING MICA
#6 MUD SWEAT 'N TEARS
#1A WARREN'S WHISPER is the speed leader in this maiden field sprinting at, or about, today's distance of 6½ furlongs on the "dirt," and goes to the post for the "Sunday Finale" with the skills of the previously noted (Race #3) Jockey/Trainer tandem of Baze and O'Neill in her corner. #3 ALL DONE UP has nice early speed for this sprint, and is the overall pace profile leader in this field.
NYRA BONUS
AQUEDUCT HAS CANCELLED RACING TODAY - SNOWSTORM
HOME TRACK BONUS
#1 FURRARIAT
#6 SPEEDY FREDDIE
#7 SAM'S CASTLE
#2 CLEARLY DIPLOMATIC
#1 FURRARIAT takes a class drop (-9) this afternoon, and is the speed leader in this claiming field sprinting at the "specialized distance" of 7.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has produced a quartet of "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in his last five starts, including a pair of "POWER RUN WINS" being embedded in this recent streak or racing consistency. #6 SPEEDY FREDDIE has hit the board in five straight, winning in both his 4th and 5th races back. Jockey Harry Vega and Trainer Eli Betancourt send him to the post today ... they've hit the board with 60% of their entries saddled as a team to date.
Disclaimer: Every attempt has been made to insure accuracy, however since this report is prepared and typed by hand, errors, including typographical and numerical, can be made. It is the responsibility of the end user to "cross check" these selections against the actual entries and program numbers.
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TODAY'S BEST BET: #12 CITRONNADE - RACE #8 TODAY'S BEST VALUE BET: #3 GOOD MAN DAN - RACE #3 TODAY'S BEST LONGSHOT: #7 OCEANOGRAPHY - RACE #7 TODAY'S BEST "BOXED EXOTIC WAGER" OPPORTUNITY:RACE #1 |
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RACE #3: #3 GOOD MAN DAN |
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Starting Date: 11/07/2007
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NOTES ON CLASS: The TrackMaster PLUS software uses a sophisticated mathematical formula to calculate the "class" of a particular race. It is important to note that this calculation is NOT based on purse structure, but on the competitive level of the entries in today's field. Therefore, it is possible (and not uncommon), that an entry may be racing for a higher purse today than in his or her last race, but in a "TrackMaster Sense" is dropping in class, because the overall abilities of the entries in today's race are not as competitive as the entries in his or her last race. The TrackMaster class scale is numeric, and basically ranges from 50 to 100, and is particularly helpful in judging entries that are "shipping" in from another track. In my analysis of a race, I often note that an entry is "dropping in class," or "stepping up in class." Following this statement, you will see a (number in parenthesis). The value of that particular number indicates the degree of the class change. EXAMPLE: "#4 SIN CITY takes a fairly significant class drop (-8) this evening." This indicates that this entry is dropping by 8 TrackMaster Class Levels from his or her last race. It does not necessarily mean that this entry is racing for a lower purse, only racing against a less competitive field.
NOTES: I frequently use the term, "POWER RUN" in this column. It is my terminology for a previous race run at a speed, which if duplicated today, should compete for the winner's circle at the class level in which the entry is competing today. Space requirements do not allow for a thorough discussion of this calculation, however, if you would like a short essay on how the "POWER RUN" is calculated, kindly send me some EMAIL at rneedham1@yahoo.com and I'll send you a copy of my "POWER RUN" file.
TRIVIA NOTE: "TrackMaster Rick" Needham is the "oldest" Thoroughbred Racing Handicapper on the "INTERNET!" His selections began appearing back in 1982 when our current Internet System was just a "Figment of the imagination" of the current operating systems ... he was the "creator," and SYSOP (Systems Operator) for both The Sports Forum and The Science and Mathematics Forum on the Compuserve Network, and posted his selections from The NYRA and Southern California Circuits on a daily basis for some 20+ years! These selections continue via Equibase/TrackMaster today!
RACE #5: Here in the $50,000.00 Kaiser Stakes, the 4-1 shot, #7 AROUND THE CAPE takes a class drop (-7), and is the speed leader in this field sprinting at 5.0 furlongs on the grass.
RACE #6: The 20-1 BOMB, #8 INAUGRAL ADDRESS, drops in class (-8), and is the speed leader in this claiming field racing at today's distance of a mile on the dirt.
RACE #5: The 10-1 BOMB, #5 WHAT A DREAM STU, is a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony" qualifier, drops in class (-16), and is the speed leader in this maiden field sprinting at, or about, 6½ furlongs on the dirt.
RACE #6: #9 VINE STREET SCHOOL is 6-1 in the morning line, and is the speed leader in this claiming field today.
a. Odds are GREATER THAN 4-1
b. The entry must be the TOP POWER RATED entry in the field
c. The entry must also have the BEST SPEED in this field for today's distance and surface!
d. The entry has raced in the last 25 days - no extended layoffs allowed!
NOTE: Listed Post Times are given in the local time zone of the track.
Fair Grounds - Race #4 - 1:58PM - #8 BAD GIRLS HAVE FUN 12/1
Mountaineer Park - Race #9 - 10:20PM - #8 VICERENA 12/1
