RICK NEEDHAM AT

AQUEDUCT
THURSDAY MARCH 12, 2009

TODAY'S WEATHER AT AQUEDUCT RACE COURSE

NEW FEATURE: I am now including the "PAR TIMES" for each race as part of this graded selection column. The "Par Time" is the average winning time for today's race, at this class level, at this distance at Aqueduct Race Course. The data is based on winning times stored in the TrackMaster Data Base for THE LAST FIVE YEARS! Comparing current times recorded by today's entries to these "Par Times" may be a valuable handicapping aid!

RACE	PAR TIME
1	1:10.41
2	1:40.69
3	N.A.
4	1:13.64
5	1:44.26
6	1:45.42
7	1:40.69
8	1:37.69
9	1:11.76

NOTE: Why 4 selections in many races? Aqueduct offers Superfecta wagering on the last race daily. Also, the 4th selection is often a longshot with a reasonable chance of hitting the board, as well as providing a viable alternative in case of a scratch.

NOTE: ALL RACES TO BE CONTESTED TODAY ON THE "WINTERIZED" INNER TRACK

RACE/APPROXIMATE POST TIME

RACE #1 - 1:00 PM

6.0 FURLONGS FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $16,000.00 CLAIMING $20,000.00 PURSE

#7 CAVALLO PAZZO
#2 API MOHKAT
#6 INDIAN WAR DANCE
#2 API MOHKAT

#7 CAVALLO PAZZO takes a class drop (-3), and is both the speed and pace profile leader in this claiming field sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has produced "POWER RUNS" in each of his last five outings, facing better company in each of those races than he will face in this field today. Jockey Sheldon Russell and Trainer Anthony Dutrow send him "postward" for the "Thursday Opener" ... they've hit the board with 62% of their entries saddled as a team to date.

RACE #2 - 1:28 PM

8.0 FURLONGS MAIDENS THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $12,500.00 CLAIMING $16,000.00 PURSE

#6 SAY NEW YORK SANDY
#8 SARATOGIAN
#1 BRITE GIN
#2 TURBO TIM

#6 SAY NEW YORK SANDY has produced "POWER RUNS" in both of his last two outings, including a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in his last start, in a race which was contested at today's TrackMaster PLUS Class Level of 76. #8 SARATOGIAN is the pace profile leader in this maiden field racing at today's distance of a mile on the dirt.

RACE #3 - 1:56 PM

13. FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD OPTIONAL CLAIMING $46,000.00 PURSE

#1 MALIBU MOONSHINE
#2 HIGH BLUES
#4 SUCCESSFUL AFFAIR
#5 UNDOCUMENTED

#1 MALIBU MOONSHINE has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his last five starts, hitting the board in three, including a "POWER RUN WIN" facing better company (+3) in his last start. #2 HIGH BLUES qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," takes a class drop (-6), and is the speed leader in this O.C. field racing at, or about, today's distance of 13.0 furlongs on the dirt.

RACE #4 - 2:25 PM

6.0 FURLONGS MAIDEN FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $15,000.00 CLAIMING $15,000.00 PURSE

#2B TRUE INTENT
#4 EAGER FOR ACTION / #4X ISYOUIS
#7 JAIMIES GEM
#1 GRIF'S CORNER

NO COMMENT ON THIS RACE

RACE #5 - 2:54 PM

8½ FURLONGS FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $10,000.00 CLAIMING $20,000.00 PURSE

#7 GALLANT AGAIN
#1 EL CHILE DOG
#3 SEA OF TREES
#6 RIVER MOUNTAIN RD

#7 GALLANT AGAIN takes a class drop (-2), and is the speed leader in this claiming field today, and has been a "POWER RUN PERFORMER" in five straight, hitting the board in four of those outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 2nd race back, in a race that was contested at today's TrackMaster PLUS Class Level of 102. #1 EL CHILE DOG has hit the board in two of his last three outings, winning his last race. Jockey Ramon Dominguez was in his irons for that win, 10 days ago here at "The Big-A," and Dominguez returns today for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips."

RACE #6 - 3:23 PM

8½ FURLONGS THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT $44,000.00 PURSE

#3 VALID SUM
#7 BINDLE STICK
#6 COUNTRY TRICK
#2 TWISTED DREAM

#3 VALID SUM is the only entry in this maiden field showing a "POWER RUN" in this field's collective last start. Jockey Eddie Castro and Trainer Kiaran McLaughlin send him to the post today ... they've hit the board with an even 50% of their entries saddled as a team to date. He is out of the Street Cry lineage, whose progeny have hit the board in 44% of nearly 1,000 combined lifetime starts to date. I also note that he will be racing on LASIX for the 2nd time today.

RACE #7 - 3:52 PM

8.0 FURLONGS THREE YEAR OLD FILLIES $20,000.00 CLAIMING $31,000.00 PURSE

#4 SHE'S MY FORTUNE
#6 CARPATHIAN
#1 THUNDER REIGNS / #1A A P GRACIE
#2 SAGE THE RAGE

#4 SHE'S MY FORTUNE takes a class drop (-6), and is the speed leader in this claiming field racing at the mile distance on the dirt, and has produced a trio of "POWER RUNS" in her last four outings, and goes to the post with the skills of the Jockey/Trainer tandem of Ramon Dominguez and Anthony Dutrow in her corner ... they've hit the board with 62% of their entries saddled as a team to date.

RACE #8 - 4:21 PM

8.0 FURLONGS FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STARTER ALLOWANCE $44,000.00 PURSE

#3 ALL IN NO OUTS
#8 JUDGE WILLIAM
#5 NORTHERN BUSTER
#4 MASALA T

#3 ALL IN NO OUTS has hit the board in four of his last five outings, winning twice, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his last start. Jockey "Rosie" Napravnik and Trainer Dom Galluscio send him to the post this afternoon ... they've hit the board with 58% of their entries saddled as a team to date, producing a +15% return on investment in the process.

RACE #9 - 4:50 PM

6.0 FURLONGS MAIDENS THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $16,000.00 CLAIMING $15,000.00 PURSE

#11 KAPTAIN
#7 BRAHMINICAL
#4 CHAYSEN' ALEX
#8 THE SPANISH LIFE

NO COMMENTS ON THIS RACE

Disclaimer: Every attempt has been made to insure accuracy, however since this report is prepared and typed by hand, errors, including typographical and numerical, can be made. It is the responsibility of the end user to "cross check" these selections against the actual entries and program numbers.

TODAY'S BEST BET: #7 CAVALLO PAZZO - RACE #1
TODAY'S BEST VALUE BET #1 MALIBU MOONSHINE - RACE #3
TODAY'S BEST LONGSHOT: #7 GALLANT AGAIN - RACE #5
TODAY'S BEST "BOXED EXOTIC" WAGERING OPPORTUNITY: RACE #8

Today's Wet Track/Soft Turf Suggestions

NOTE: "N.R." = NO RECOMMENDATION

RACE #1: #1 HALE AND HEARTY / #6 INDIAN WAR DANCE
RACE #2: #1 BRITE GIN / #6 SAY NEW YORK SANDY
RACE #3: #5 UNDOCUMENTED
RACE #4: N.R.
RACE #5: #2 GIFT OF VALOR
RACE #6: #4 NAPKINS / #6 COUNTRY STICK
RACE #7: #6 CARPATHIAN
RACE #8: #8 JUDGE WILLIAM
RACE #9: #7 BRAHMINICAL

Today's "PowerPonies"

RACE #3: #2 HIGH BLUES
RACE #6: #7 BINDLE STICK
RACE #8: #5 NORTHERN BUSTER

Leading Jockeys at Aqueduct

Starting Date: 01/01/2009
Ending Date: 03/10/2009

Name Starts 1st 2nd 3rd Earnings

Ramon A. Dominguez 279 83 48 36 $2,328,255

Charles C. Lopez 204 38 32 30 $1,100,291

Rajiv Maragh 236 35 39 39 $1,328,513

A. R. Napravnik 211 30 31 24 $868,906

Eddie Castro 201 27 39 20 $985,378

Jeffrey Sanchez 171 20 18 16 $546,001

Sheldon Russell 206 19 30 43 $818,786

Sebastian Morales 149 19 19 18 $504,377

Michael J. Luzzi 138 15 13 18 $544,292

Richard Migliore 85 15 13 16 $566,094

Jorge F. Chavez 82 15 7 11 $376,041

Channing Hill 157 13 18 18 $529,640

Pablo Morales 118 11 17 14 $376,643

Maylan Studart 101 11 12 12 $312,991

Erick Lopez 59 11 6 4 $205,429

Victor Santiago 129 9 9 24 $288,800

Orlando Bocachica 108 6 8 13 $218,779

Rudy R. Rodriguez 78 6 5 5 $124,761

Nazario Alvarado 49 6 1 6 $161,915

Jean-Luc Samyn 41 4 3 5 $164,302

NOTES ON CLASS: The TrackMaster PLUS software uses a sophisticated mathematical formula to calculate the "class" of a particular race. It is important to note that this calculation is NOT based on purse structure, but on the competitive level of the entries in today's field. Therefore, it is possible (and not uncommon), that an entry may be racing for a higher purse today than in his or her last race, but in a "TrackMaster Sense" is dropping in class, because the overall abilities of the entries in today's race are not as competitive as the entries in his or her last race. The TrackMaster class scale is numeric, and basically ranges from 50 to 100, and is particularly helpful in judging entries that are "shipping" in from another track. In my analysis of a race, I often note that an entry is "dropping in class," or "stepping up in class." Following this statement, you will see a (number in parenthesis). The value of that particular number indicates the degree of the class change. EXAMPLE: "#4 SIN CITY takes a fairly significant class drop (-8) this evening." This indicates that this entry is dropping by 8 TrackMaster Class Levels from his or her last race. It does not necessarily mean that this entry is racing for a lower purse, only racing against a less competitive field.

NOTES: I frequently use the term, "POWER RUN" in this column. It is my terminology for a previous race run at a speed, which if duplicated today, should compete for the winner's circle at the class level in which the entry is competing today. Space requirements do not allow for a thorough discussion of this calculation, however, if you would like a short essay on how the "POWER RUN" is calculated, kindly send me some EMAIL at rneedham1@yahoo.com and I'll send you a copy of my "POWER RUN" file.

TRIVIA NOTE: "TrackMaster Rick" Needham is the "oldest" Thoroughbred Racing Handicapper on the "INTERNET!" His selections began appearing back in 1982 when our current Internet System was just a "Figment of imagination" of the current operating systems ... he was the "creator," and SYSOP (Systems Operator) for both The Sports Forum and The Science and Mathematics Forum on the Compuserve Network, and posted his selections from The NYRA and Southern California Circuits on a daily basis some 20 years ago! These selections continue via Equibase/TrackMaster today!

FOOTBALL NOTE: If you need some reliable weekly analysis of selected College and Professional football games this season ... visit Rick's web site ... Rick Needham's Better Bettor to sign-up for his weekly reports! Daily FREE picks for all sports on Rick's Web Site - usually posted by 6:00 PM Eastern!

SIMULCASTED LONGSHOTS

DELTA DOWNS

RACE #2: The 20-1 BOMB, #2 WHIZVILLE, takes a class drop (-6), and has nice overall speed for this mile test on the dirt.

RACE #3: #1 CORY'S RODEO, an 8-1 shot, takes a BIG class drop, (-22), and has decent speed for this 5.0 furlong sprint.

RACE #8: The 8-1 shot, #2 DUBAI FALCON, drops in class (-9), and is the speed leader in this field tonight sprinting at the "specialized distance" of 7.0 furlongs on the dirt.

CHARLES TOWN

RACE #2: The 4-1 shot, #7 LOGAN'S BREW, takes a BIG class drop (-21), and has good speed for this 4½ furlongs on the dirt.

RACE #4: The 10-1 BOMB, qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," and has nice speed for tonight's 7.0 furlong sprint.

RACE #5: #11 LORD CALVERTON, a 6-1 shot, qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," takes a class drop (-20) and has good speed for this 8½ furlong route test on the dirt.

Ultra Longshot Angles

NOTE: The entries listed below have been "found" utilizing TrackMaster's fantastic new product Ultra Angles ... I have utilized this product to scan EVERY TRACK in North America for entries today meeting the following 4 criteria:

a. Odds are 4-1 - or higher
b. The entry must be the TOP POWER RATED entry in the field
c. The entry must also have the BEST SPEED in this field for today's distance and surface!
d. The entry has raced in the last 25 days - no extended layoffs allowed!

NOTE: Listed Post Times are given in the local time zone of the track.

Aqueduct - Race #6 - 3:25PM - #7 BINDLE STICK 10/1
Gulfstream Park - Race #2 - 1:44PM - #7 MASTERWORK 6/1