TODAY'S WEATHER AT AQUEDUCT
NEW FEATURE: I am now including the "PAR TIMES" for each race as part of this graded selection column. The "Par Time" is the average winning time for today's race, at this class level, at this distance at Aqueduct Race Course. The data is based on winning times stored in the TrackMaster Data Base for THE LAST FIVE YEARS! Comparing current times recorded by today's entries to these "Par Times" may be a valuable handicapping aid!
| RACE | PAR TIME |
| 1 | 1:49.76 |
| 2 | 1:18.39 |
| 3 | 1:11.89 |
| 4 | 1:25.97 |
| 5 | 1:48.44 |
| 6 | 1:13.47 |
| 7 | 1:38.45 |
| 8 | 1:09.94 |
| 9 | 1:37.25 |
NOTE: Why 4 selections in many races? Aqueduct offers Superfecta wagering on many races on a daily basis. Also, the 4th selection is often a longshot with a reasonable chance of hitting the board, as well as providing a viable alternative in case of a scratch.
#3 BUDGE MAN
#2 ALL IN NO OUTS
#5 MERLIN BAY
#1A MARINA MARKET
#3 BUDGE MAN takes a class drop (-4), is the pace profile leader in this allowance field racing at today's distance of 9.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has turned in "POWER RUNS" in each of his last five outings, winning four times in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Ramon Dominguez was in his irons for that last win, 21 days ago here at "The Big-A," producing a +265% return on investment in the process, and is back today for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips." #2 ALL IN NO OUTS has hit the board in four of his last five starts overall, winning twice.
#2 DEFLATE THE BUBBLE
#5 ROSE'S TURN
#3 A WINK AND A SMILE
#4 ZALMARA
#2 DEFLATE THE BUBBLE is the overall speed leader in this maiden field sprinting at, or about, today's distance of 6½ furlongs on the dirt, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three straight. She is a daughter of Cuvee, whose progeny have hit the board in 48% of more than 1,600 combined lifetime starts to date. For your information folks, Cuvee also qualifies for my Three Star Sire list ... if you would like a description of the rigid rules that I "employ" to make this list, kindly send me an email ... and yes ... this list, and the "rules" are indeed free!
#5 THE CUFF SHOOTER
#6 STUDLEY
#3 PRIX DE KARAKORUM
#4 ZONE BREAKER
#5 THE CUFF SHOOTER is the pace profile leader in this claiming field sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three of his last four starts, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 2nd race back. #6 STUDLEY also has a nice pace profile, and has turned in "POWER RUNS" in five straight, hitting the board in a pair.
#3 LADY OF THE FOREST
#2 NO IMAGINATION
#4 BUDDYS DREAM
#5 SKY FEVER
#3 LADY OF THE FOREST has nice early speed abilities to compliment for this sprint, is the pace profile leader, and has turned in "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in five straight, hitting the board in three. #2 NO IMAGINATION takes a class drop (-9), and has hit the board in three of her last five starts overall, including a "POWER RUN WIN" to break her maiden in her 4th race back.
#7 SCOUT EXCHANGE
#4 KISS ME ALREADY
#6 GLORY WIT A STORY
#9 LOVE SHACK
#7 SCOUT EXCHANGE takes a class drop (-11), and comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN SHOW" finishes in her last two outings, facing better company in both of those outings than she will face in this maiden field today. She's a daughter of Exchange Rate, whose progeny have hit the board in 42% of more than 3,400 combined lifetime starts to date. #4 KISS ME ALREADY takes a class drop (-16), qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," and comes off back-to-back "POWER RUN EFFORTS" in her last two outings.
#7 SHALAKA
#4 ECOACH
#2 J C'S QUEEN
#1 GALAXY JET
#7 SHALAKA is both the overall speed and pace profile leader in this maiden field sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of her last five starts. She's a daughter of Lion Heart whose progeny have "whacked the tote board" in 43% of more than 2,500 combined lifetime starts to date. #4 ECOACH takes a class drop (-4), and is out of the Zavata lineage, whose progeny have hit the board in 41% of more than 1,500 combined lifetime starts to date.
#7 I'M UNFORGETABLE
#5 DOPKE GAL
#4 MOONWALK BEAUTY
#2 RED TO POSITIVE
#7 I'M UNFORGETABLE takes a class drop (-4) this afternoon, and is the speed leader in this claiming field racing at the mile distance on the grass, and comes off "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of her last four starts. #5 DOPKE GAL posted a "POWER RUN PERFORMANCE" in her last outing.
#5 WHO'S THE COWBOY
#1 HEWITTS
#4 SAINT DAIMON
#2 NEW ADVENTURE
#5 WHO'S THE COWBOY is the overall speed leader in this O.C. field today sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has hit the board in each of his last five starts, winning twice in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey David Cohen has been in his irons on two previous occasions, posting a win and a place finish en route to a +80% return on investment in the process, and is back today for his 3rd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips." #1 HEWITTS is a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony" qualifier, and has hit the board in three of his last five outings, with two of those efforts, including a win in his 2nd race back, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS."
#2 TIGER WILLIE
#1 SHIMMERING FOREST
#4 NOBODY LIKE MIKE
#8 WAYWARDWILLIE
#2 TIGER WILLIE takes a class drop (-6), and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in two of his last four starts. #1 SHIMMERING FOREST is both the overall speed and pace profile leader in this claiming field racing at today's distance of a mile on the dirt, and comes off a "POWER RUN EFFORT" facing better company (+6) in his last start.
HOME TRACK BONUS
#6 SNOW MON
#7 RYAN'S GOLD
#5 SEND HIM IN
#2 ACADEMY RUN
#6 SNOW MON shares the speed honors in this allowance field sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt with #7 RYAN'S GOLD and is the pace profile leader ... he's hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three straight, winning twice in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Katie Lee and Trainer John Connar send him to the post tonight ... they've hit the board with 63% of their entries saddled as a team to date, producing a +28% return on investment in the process. RYAN'S GOLD, a 5-1 shot, has nice early speed abilities to compliment for this sprint, and has produced "POWER RUNS" in five straight, hitting the board in four of those "adventures."
SOUTH FLORIDA BONUS
#1 PEACH BOTTOM
#2 INDY'S ALEXANDRA
#5 VERSE CHOIR
#6 RED HOT JAZZ
#1 PEACH BOTTOM has hit the board in three of her last five outings, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in her 2nd and 3rd races back. #2 INDY'S ALEXANDRA takes a class drop (-2) this afternoon, and goes to the post with the skills of Jockey Elvis Trujillo in her corner ... Trujillo has been in her irons on five previous occasions, hitting the board in four, including a trio of wins, en route to a +30% return on investment in the process.
NOTE: RICK ALSO HANDICAPS ADDITIONAL SELECT RACES FROM MAJOR TRACKS ON A NIGHTLY BASIS VIA YOUTUBE - YOU CAN GET THESE FREE SELECTIONS VIA HIS WEB SITE - Rick Needham's Better Bettor
Disclaimer: Every attempt has been made to insure accuracy, however since this report is prepared and typed by hand, errors, including typographical and numerical, can be made. It is the responsibility of the end user to "cross check" these selections against the actual entries and program numbers.
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TODAY'S BEST BET: #7 SHALAKA - RACE #6 TODAY'S VALUE BET A: #3 BUDGE MAN - RACE #1 TODAY'S VALUE BET B: #5 THE CUFF SHOOTER - RACE #3 TODAY'S BEST "BOXED EXOTIC" WAGERING OPPORTUNITY: RACE #2 |
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RACE #3: #3 PRIX DE KARAKORUM |
NOTES ON CLASS: The TrackMaster PLUS software uses a sophisticated mathematical formula to calculate the "class" of a particular race. It is important to note that this calculation is NOT based on purse structure, but on the competitive level of the entries in today's field. Therefore, it is possible (and not uncommon), that an entry may be racing for a higher purse today than in his or her last race, but in a "TrackMaster Sense" is dropping in class, because the overall abilities of the entries in today's race are not as competitive as the entries in his or her last race. The TrackMaster class scale is numeric, and basically ranges from 50 to 100, and is particularly helpful in judging entries that are "shipping" in from another track. In my analysis of a race, I often note that an entry is "dropping in class," or "stepping up in class." Following this statement, you will see a (number in parenthesis). The value of that particular number indicates the degree of the class change. EXAMPLE: "#4 SIN CITY takes a fairly significant class drop (-8) this evening." This indicates that this entry is dropping by 8 TrackMaster Class Levels from his or her last race. It does not necessarily mean that this entry is racing for a lower purse, only racing against a less competitive field.
NOTES: I frequently use the term, "POWER RUN" in this column. It is my terminology for a previous race run at a speed, which if duplicated today, should compete for the winner's circle at the class level in which the entry is competing today. Space requirements do not allow for a thorough discussion of this calculation, however, if you would like a short essay on how the "POWER RUN" is calculated, kindly send me some EMAIL at rneedham1@yahoo.com and I'll send you a copy of my "POWER RUN" file.
TRIVIA NOTE: "TrackMaster Rick" Needham is the "oldest" Thoroughbred Racing Handicapper on the "INTERNET!" His selections began appearing back in 1982 when our current Internet System was just a "Figment of imagination" of the current operating systems ... he was the "creator," and SYSOP (Systems Operator) for both The Sports Forum and The Science and Mathematics Forum on the Compuserve Network, and posted his selections from The NYRA and Southern California Circuits on a daily basis some 25 years ago! These selections continue via Equibase/TrackMaster today!
RACE #3: #3 TOOL TIME GIRL is 4-1 in the morning line, takes a class drop (-6), and has nice overall speed for this 6.0 furlong sprint.
RACE #5: #1 RED REEF, an 8-1 shot, is the overall speed leader in this claiming field today sprinting at, or about, 6½ furlongs on the dirt.
RACE #2: #8 LIDO BEACH, a 10-1 BOMB, takes a class drop (-10), and is the overall speed leader in this claiming field sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt.
RACE #6: #8 RETRIEVER is 4-1 in the morning line, and is the overall speed leader in this claiming field racing at, or about, today's distance of a mile and seventy yards on the dirt.
a. Odds are GREATER THAN 4-1
b. The entry must be the TOP POWER RATED entry in the field
c. The entry must also have the BEST SPEED in this field for today's distance and surface!
Mountaineer Park - Race #6 - 9:05PM - #8 RETRIEVER 4/1
Penn National - Race #3 - 6:49PM - #9 LUCKY MEMENTO 9/2
Penn National - Race #5 - 7:38PM - #7 RYAN'S GOLD 5/1
NOTE: Listed Post Times are given in the local time zone of the track.
