Aqueduct - Friday November 24, 2017
You don't have to be a rocket scientist to select winners at Aqueduct, but it isn't child's play either. By using computer technology, TrackMaster information and handicapping skill, you can make money at this game. We're going to do our best to send you home a winner at the end of the day. Tell them to pull up the armored truck!
  • Today's Money In The Vault Horse: Race 5 - #7 MY ROXY GIRL (ML=5/2)

  • Today's Live Longshot: Race 7 - #4 STRING SECTION (ML=12/1)
6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 LEAH'S DREAM (ML=5/2)
#3 THIS BIRD CAN SING (ML=7/2)
#8 OUR WHIM (ML=2/1)


LEAH'S DREAM - Be loyal to this horse. No other viable speed gives this equine a strong chance at the winner's circle.Racing at a similar level as last race on September 21st at Belmont Park. I think Diodoro has found a good spot for her, and I like her chances right here.'Blinkers On' is a time-honored positive angle in handicapping the races.THIS BIRD CAN SING - I think Cox is making a good move here. This filly can only benefit from the shorter trip.This filly is in good condition, having run a good race on October 26th, finishing first.earnings per race entered is something that I feel can be an important factor. This thoroughbred is ranked number one in this bunch.This horse has increased her speed ratings from a fig of 41 to 59 to 63 right in a row.OUR WHIM - Taking a trip down in class; has the class ability to make her presence felt.This filly's last speed figure recorded on October 12th is uppermost in last race Equibase speed figures.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 IWISHIRISH (ML=5/1)

IWISHIRISH - Can't wager on this entrant in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance event recently.Showed very little in the last affair. Really no reason to expect a reversal of fortune today.notched a most unsatisfactory fig last out in a $16,000 Claiming race on October 12th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that figure.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#4 LEAH'S DREAM is going to be the play if we are getting 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

4 with [3,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [3,4,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $46,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating: Golden Dollar

#3 MISSIMPAZI (ML=3/1)
#1 BIG EXPENSE (ML=4/1)
#4 SALTY SMILE (ML=5/2)


MISSIMPAZI - Englehart drops her down to this class level. You don't need too much more from the pp lines to believe this horse has a good chance at this level.This filly should be in top form, this far into her form cycle.BIG EXPENSE - I have to believe Schettino is making a good move here. This filly can only profit from the shorter trip.Schettino drops her down to this class level. You don't need too much more handicapping knowledge to figure that this one has a good chance at this level.SALTY SMILE - Trainer Rodriguez moves this thoroughbred down the class ladder to face a less competitive field. Look for a strong race given the class advantage.This animal brings in a lot of dough per start. Uppermost in this event.Have to forget about that last race on the turf. This filly should do better hitting the main track right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 ORCHID PARTY (ML=5/1)

ORCHID PARTY - Not the proper 'spot' in this race.

Top HatHal - SALTY SMILE - Betting the horse with the best last race speed figure is a good angle. None higher than this filly's last one.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Save the win bets for another race

EXACTA WAGERS:

None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,3,4] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $100,000 Class Rating: 93

Rating: Golden Dollar

#7 PURE SILVER (ML=5/2)
#5 I STILL MISS YOU (ML=6/1)
#8 TAYLER'S THE BOSS (ML=4/1)
#6 INDY'S LADY (ML=3/1)


PURE SILVER - Last time this filly ran today's distance she got a speed rating that would probably win today's contest.she has the uppermost (EPS) earnings per start. Check out this one.I STILL MISS YOU - This filly is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Englehart.filly has shown some pace. This shorter distance should be better for her.Finished ahead of today's favorite in the last race at Belmont Park. Can do the same again in this event.TAYLER'S THE BOSS - Carmouche is back for another event today after racing atop this animal for the 1st attempt on October 5th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better.The jock/conditioner twosome of Carmouche and Asmussen has a strong return on investment together.INDY'S LADY - The jockey and conditioner combination have a positive ROI when they are put together.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 NEWPORT BREEZE (ML=8/1)

NEWPORT BREEZE - Never really did much at all last time around the track on October 21st. Hard to wager on in today's event.When examining today's class rating, she will have to notch a better speed rating than last race out to battle in this dirt sprint.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #5 I STILL MISS YOU to win if you can get at least 6/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $67,000 Class Rating: 104

Rating: Golden Dollar

#4 BUSINESS EXPENSE (ML=3/1)
#8 KRAMPUS (ML=5/2)
#1A HOMEWOOD FIELD (ML=7/2)
#3 NEW YORK SONG (ML=12/1)


BUSINESS EXPENSE - This horse has a lot of class. A good sign in a turf race like we have today.last race out, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. That's a good sign he can close well, and should be right there at the finish line this race.KRAMPUS - In this race here, this beautiful animal has recorded the highest Equibase speed figure at the distance, so I have to give him the edge.This gelding is clearly on the improve with speed figures of 78, 100, 104 last three out.HOMEWOOD FIELD - Horses out of the barn of Brown have been strong on the turf. Should perform well in this race.This colt is very reliable, frequently finishing in the money.This colt has higher odds on the morning line than the other entrant from the stable of Brown. Better be careful of this angle.NEW YORK SONG - Very often a pony who worked from the gate since his last race, and adds blinkers for today's race, shows a big improvement in performance.Changes tracks from last out at Belmont Park to here. Multiple wins on different ovals tell me this animal likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign.Finished off the board last out at Belmont Park, but was within 5 lengths of the winner. Opening at 12/1 makes me think he's got a chance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 HALLOWEEN HORROR (ML=2/1), #2B FLASH TRADING (ML=2/1), #1 BOBBY G (ML=7/2)

HALLOWEEN HORROR - When any animal improves so much on a sloppy track, I have to be concerned about him next time.FLASH TRADING - If you keep playing these kind of 'hanger' types, you're going to be disappointed often.This gelding recorded a speed rating in his last event which likely isn't good enough in today's event.BOBBY G - The young horse will have a hard time beating the veterans this time out.Any speed fig garnered on the soft turf has to be taken with a grain of salt.

Top HatHal - HOMEWOOD FIELD - On Sep 10th at Belmont Park this colt checked in with a strong final quarter, making him the thoroughbred to wager on.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #3 NEW YORK SONG on the win end if we get at least 10/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:


** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $46,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 MY ROXY GIRL (ML=5/2)
#3 GO KELLY GO (ML=3/1)


MY ROXY GIRL - I look for this pony to sit off the pace and make a strong move on the turn, cruising straight on to the winner's circle.Finished second, but easily 2nd over the third horse. Those types usually run well next time out.Just check out her last figure, 71. That one looks good in this group.I like this filly. Has the highest earnings per start in this contest.GO KELLY GO - This filly is in good condition, having run a nice race on November 3rd, finishing third.filly will add blinkers to the equipment package today. That often leads to an improved performance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #9 THIRSTY BIRD (ML=7/2), #1 PROMISE ME ROSES (ML=5/1), #5 MISTY FOREST (ML=8/1)

THIRSTY BIRD - Oddsmaker's morning line of 7/2 make this horse a pass by my examination.PROMISE ME ROSES - Today's race is 6 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance contest in the last 60 days. Not the greatest of signals.MISTY FOREST - This horse hasn't been near the victor at the finish line recently.This filly earned a speed figure in her last event which probably isn't good enough in today's race.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#7 MY ROXY GIRL to win at post-time odds of 2/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

6.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $57,000 Class Rating: 94

Rating: Golden Dollar

#6 SWAYED (ML=5/2)
#4 HIGH JINGO (ML=3/1)
#10 PASSPORTTOVICTORY (ML=6/1)
#8 STRAWBERRY TEQUILA (ML=10/1)


SWAYED - That 99 fig this filly garnered in her last race tells me she's a chief player in today's event.This racer obviously likes the conditions for today's race. Has recorded the highest speed rating on the turf at the distance/surface.In my opinion, you need 'class' to be successful on the grass. This one has the highest average class figure in the field.This thoroughbred has increased her speed ratings from a fig of 75 to 88 to 99 right in a row.in the last race, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. That indicates to me she can close well, and should be right there at the finish this time.HIGH JINGO - Using this jock/trainer combination is a smart move.last out on the turf, this horse was great. Anything close in this field, and this one should win.This horse has increased her speed ratings in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth taking note of.in the last race, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. To me, that's a good indication she can close well, and should be right there at the wire in today's contest.PASSPORTTOVICTORY - I undeniably see portentous signs for this noble animal right here.STRAWBERRY TEQUILA - Faces state bred foes today after finishing fourth versus 'open' company on October 4th.taking this jockey/handler combination is a smart choice.Horse has improved at least 2 speed rating points in last two races. I look for that positive trend to continue in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #15 CATS HALO (ML=5/1), #3 OBJECTIVE COMPLETE (ML=5/1), #14 TERRALSOLE (ML=8/1)

CATS HALO - Can't wager on this runner in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance event of late.earned a common speed figure last time out in a $25,000 Claiming race on Nov 8th. Not likely to see an improved performance off of that fig.OBJECTIVE COMPLETE - She's in all probability going to get baked at the front.TERRALSOLE - She's almost certainly going to get cooked on the front end.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #8 STRAWBERRY TEQUILA on the win end if we get at least 15/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $60,000 Class Rating: 83

Rating: Golden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 STRING SECTION (ML=12/1)
#7 SOLITARY GEM (ML=8/1)
#1 DANYELLI (ML=7/2)
#9 TACTICAL AFFAIR (ML=10/1)


STRING SECTION - This jockey and conditioner's animals have been producing a positive ROI.This one's dam (Lemonette) has a great win percent (50 percent) with first-timers, so I expect a lot out of this horse.The trainer here (Servis) has a super ROI with 1st timers.Gets help from Servis with the addition of Lasix.SOLITARY GEM - Davis rode this entrant for the initial time last out and comes right back in this race.Don't often see a lucrative return on investment like +112. This rider/trainer duo has done well together over the last twelve months.Expect better today as this filly gets Lasix for the second time.The most recent rating of 77 is the top last race fig in the bunch.DANYELLI - Trying to get into the winner's circle for the first time moving from a turf race to the dirt. I think Rodriguez will have her fit and ready for today's contest.TACTICAL AFFAIR - I can't ignore the fact that this filly is working extremely well.McGaughey has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to be wary of the longer priced half.The trainer here (McGaughey) has a fantastic ROI with first-time-starters.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 PINK SANDS (ML=5/2), #2 LADY SUEBEE (ML=4/1), #3 HAIL (ML=5/1)

PINK SANDS - Has tasted defeat as the favorite twice in a row. A repeat is probably in store.Should have at least finished in the money in the last sixty days in a sprint event to be worth a shot at minimal odds in a sprint.LADY SUEBEE - I foresee a disappointing effort for this equine in this race.HAIL - Don't believe this pony is worth 5/1 in this race.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #4 STRING SECTION on the win end if we get at least 9/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $150,000 Class Rating: 106

Rating: Golden Dollar

#5 HIEROGLYPHICS (ML=4/1)
#2 SMALL BEAR (ML=5/1)
#8 FUNTASTIC (ML=7/2)
#7 HARLAN'S HARMONY (ML=10/1)


HIEROGLYPHICS - This mount should be motoring in the lane.SMALL BEAR - Comparing how the horses in this field have fared under similar conditions, I see this thoroughbred has the highest speed rating for the distance & surface.This animal has shown the power to win on different tracks. Making the move from Belmont Park for today's event, I have to believe he's ready to run.FUNTASTIC - Nice win percentage this jockey and conditioner pair have been putting together.This trainer brings horses to the turf in great shape, winning over 20 pct of the time under similar conditions.I can't ignore the fact that this colt is working extremely well.HARLAN'S HARMONY - Last time around the track, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. That's a good sign he can close well, and should be right there at the finish today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 SECRETARY AT WAR (ML=3/1), #6 DALARNA (ML=8/1)

SECRETARY AT WAR - The finish position of fifth in the last affair shows me that this equine may be going out of form.DALARNA - Don't think that this colt has value at 8/1 this time around.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Bet on #2 SMALL BEAR to win if you can get at least 6/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

9.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $250,000 Class Rating: 99

Rating: Golden Dollar

#8 MISS SKY WARRIOR (ML=5/2)
#5 ACTRESS (ML=2/1)
#2 YOU KNOW TOO (ML=20/1)
#3 PARADE (ML=6/1)
#9 TAPELLA (ML=6/1)


MISS SKY WARRIOR - Breen moves this thoroughbred here to Aqueduct from Belmont Park. Looking at the horse's PPs, she has shown the ability to win on different ovals.Castellano is back for another contest today after racing atop this animal for the first ride on October 28th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better.Ranked number 1 in earnings per start. Another indicator that this equine outclasses this field.ACTRESS - That 99 fig this filly recorded in her last affair tells me she's a key player today.'Blinkers On' is a time-honored positive angle in handicapping the races.YOU KNOW TOO - This filly should give a good showing of herself in today's event.PARADE - The ROI when Davis and McGaughey get together is tremendous.I took a look at this filly's finishes. She's almost always on the board.Getting a weight break of 7 lbs from last race at Aqueduct on November 9th. Its possible this could make the difference in this race.TAPELLA - Last raced at Belmont Park carrying 6 pounds more. The lower weight assigned in this event should serve her well.Have to give this filly a good chance. Ran a good race last time out within the last thirty days.82-89-95 are last three Equibase speed figures. Improving each time out is something she should do again right here.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#2 YOU KNOW TOO to win at post-time odds of 8/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,3] Box [2,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $46,000 Class Rating: 90

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#16 FACTOR THIS (ML=5/1)
#2 PRAGMATIST (ML=15/1)
#8 CONGRUITY (ML=2/1)


FACTOR THIS - In this race here, this beautiful animal has notched the highest Equibase speed figure at the distance, so I have to give him the edge.PRAGMATIST - Donk is trying blinkers on today. Note that this horse worked from the gate in a morning prep, most likely in blinkers.When I handicap a grass race, I think sometimes class ratings are more important than speed figs. This fine animal has the highest average class in the entire field.Came home fast in the last race at Belmont Park. That type of move bodes well for his chances in this event.Gets help from Donk with the addition of Lasix.CONGRUITY - I'll forgive that last effort on October 28th when he was a beaten favorite. That race was pretty good for a Maiden Special race and this colt's speed fig was solid.Brown is strong in grass routes. This animal should have no excuses if he doesn't win.The 91 recent race speed figure looks mighty good on paper.This mount brings in a lot of dough per race around the track. I believe he can augment that bankroll in this event.Recent speed figs show solid pattern of improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 CULLUM ROAD (ML=7/2), #5 MICHAEL WONDERFUL (ML=6/1), #12 GIO LEMON (ML=8/1)

CULLUM ROAD - Didn't hit the board on September 23rd at Belmont Park. Followed it up with another lackluster try.MICHAEL WONDERFUL - This gelding has already been conquered as the public's choice in back to back races. Hard to give him another chance.GIO LEMON - Didn't show much last out. Probably won't make a winning move in today's event.This runner ran a somewhat easily forgotten speed rating last time around the track. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably suffer defeat in today's race running that number.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#16 FACTOR THIS is the play if we get odds of 3/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,8,16]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [2,8,16] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:


Today's Money in the Vault Horse is the horse deemed by The Turf Club Analysts to be today's most likely winner. Today's Live Longshot is the horse most likely to make an impact at big odds. On rare occasions the same horse can qualify for both distinctions. Races are rated from one to four gold coins. Four coin races are the races to wager the most money on, while one coin races should be skipped altogether or have a smaller amount wagered on them. For an extensive guide to The Turf Club Analysts reports, go to The Turf Club Analysts.

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