Evangeline Downs - Friday May 25, 2018
How would you like to get information from the world's best analyzers? We'll you're stuck with us! We busted our butts to give you a thorough inquiry of Friday's program from Evangeline Downs. We take the TrackMaster information and apply our years of judgment to provide savvy commentary. Some of our cronies will also chip in. With some luck, we'll hit a couple of exactas and trifectas along the way. Let's go get them!
  • Today's Money In The Vault Horse: Race 3 - #7 TIZ TODD'S WAY (ML=4/1)

  • Today's Live Longshot: Race 9 - #14 RANGER CONNECTION (ML=12/1)
5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 62

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 NIAGARA STORM (ML=9/2)
#4 D'ROCK (ML=8/1)
#6 THE RAYSTER (ML=6/1)


NIAGARA STORM - Three consecutive improved speed ratings (37-39-47) make this one a solid contender.D'ROCK - If you review the PP's for this thoroughbred, you'll see he has recorded the top speed fig at the distance and surface. A repeat effort today and this horse has a superb chance to win.a big drop in class rating points from his April 15th race at Gulfstream Park. Based on that knowledge, I will give this one the edge.notched a nice turf fig on April 15th at Gulfstream Park. A repeat in this event, and this one has a great shot to win.Compare today's class (62) with last three speeds (62, 68, 62). All three speed figures are good enough to win.Getting a weight break of 5 lbs from last race at Gulfstream Park on April 15th. This certainly could make the difference today.THE RAYSTER - I like the fact that this first timer has been working over the same track he'll be making his debut on.I know the stable is serious today. The colt gets Lasix for the 1st time.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 RIDETHRUTHESTORM (ML=5/2), #8 GOOD MOODY BLUES (ML=7/2), #3 BENTONVILLE (ML=5/1)

RIDETHRUTHESTORM - Tough to play any runner in a sprint race if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last two months.GOOD MOODY BLUES - Trying to beat this one this time around at the value of 7/2.BENTONVILLE - Just don't believe he is worth it at the probable odds.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Play #1 NIAGARA STORM to win if you can get odds of 3/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,4,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,4,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[1,4,6] with [1,4,6] with [1,3,4,6,8] with [1,3,4,6,8] Total Cost: $36
7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,500 Class Rating: 81

Rating: Golden Dollar

#8 CHING CHING (ML=5/2)
#1 SENOR GUITAR (ML=4/1)
#2 DR. ZIPCITY (ML=7/2)


CHING CHING - Last race May 4th was pretty strong for a $5,000 Claiming race so this gelding's effort wasn't all that bad.Thornton's agent must like anytime Broberg gives them a mount; win pct together is tremendous.I think the shorter trip will help this gelding stay the trip.This gelding recorded a nice speed fig of 86 in his last race. That rating should be high enough to score this time around.Trainer, Broberg, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. This gelding is in nice physical condition. Ended up second on May 4th.SENOR GUITAR - Rider hops right back aloft after getting to know the race horse by riding last time out. That's always a helpful angle.Moves back to a trip at which he ran a figure good enough to make him a contender today.This horse earns a lot of cash per start. Utmost in this event.DR. ZIPCITY - This thoroughbred coming off a solid race in the last 30 days is a win candidate in my opinion.taking a big class drop in class figure points from his May 3rd race at Evangeline Downs. Based on that info, I will give this animal the edge.50-69-84 are last 3 speed figures. Improving each time out is something he should do again in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 BIG MAURICE (ML=6/1), #7 CLASSIC BRAHMS (ML=6/1)

BIG MAURICE - This racer has no victories in his last ten efforts. He's probably not worth the price on the win end today.CLASSIC BRAHMS - That was simply not a very good exhibition in the last clash.not probable that the speed figure he garnered on May 4th will be enough in this affair.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Just say 'no' to the win bets this race

EXACTA WAGERS:

Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Box [1,2,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[1,2,8] with [1,2,8] with [1,2,5,8,10] with [1,2,5,8,10] Total Cost: $36
7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 TIZ TODD'S WAY (ML=4/1)


TIZ TODD'S WAY - Lets try to beat the morning-line favorites with this colt. Just missed last out, but ran a pretty decent race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 MCFEELY (ML=5/2), #3 STAR YANKEE (ML=3/1), #6 FLASHYBOY BOBB (ML=4/1)

MCFEELY - Hasn't been on the Evangeline Downs oval in the last 3 weeks. Cause for some concern.STAR YANKEE - Granted the last race was good, finishing second. The lack of any recent activity raises some concerns though.FLASHYBOY BOBB - Improbable that the speed rating he recorded on May 2nd will be good enough in this race.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #7 TIZ TODD'S WAY on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

7 with 3

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass
7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 67

Rating: Golden Dollar

#1 ONE DROP (ML=3/1)
#8 BILLIARDS (ML=8/1)
#9 HAMAZINGLY RICH (ML=5/1)
#6 HARDLY SEEN SLIM (ML=6/1)


ONE DROP - Trainer Wilson moves this horse down the class ladder to face a weaker class today. Look for a sharp performance this time out.BILLIARDS - The ROI when Nieves and Vance team up is tremendous.The Feb 24th race at Sam Houston was at a class level of (83). Dropping down the class scale considerably, so he should be in a good spot.HAMAZINGLY RICH - You have to like this race horse changing from dirt to turf for the first time. He finished on the board on a sluggish dirt track on February 15th. A sign he may take to turf.Look for this one to go gate to wire in victory at some decent odds in today's race. Ran fourth in last race, but not more than five from the lead at the end.Another way to determine class is earnings per start. This horse has the highest in the field. I think he'll be close at the finish.HARDLY SEEN SLIM - 'Horse-for-the-course' is a classic handicapping angle. Since this gelding has won over the course it may give him an advantage.rider and trainer do well when they team up. Melancon and Matthieu have been consistent together.Matthieu brings him right back. I suggest you stay with this hot gelding.I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough races since the layoff and should be fit.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1A CLEAREDFOR TAKEOFF (ML=3/1), #4 EXTON (ML=4/1), #2 R. V.'S EXPRESS (ML=6/1)

CLEAREDFOR TAKEOFF - In any contest of 7 1/2 furlongs, I like to wager on a contender that has been on the board in sprint events of late.This horse just hasn't looked sharp lately.EXTON - Can't wager on this steed in today's sprint of 7 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a sprint event lately.R. V.'S EXPRESS - This horse just hasn't looked ready recently.This gelding will likely bounce, and not come close to the latest speed fig of 67.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #1 Entry to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:

1 with [6,8,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

1 with [6,8,9] with [6,8,9] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

1 with [6,8,9] with [6,8,9] with [6,8,9] Total Cost: $6

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,500 Class Rating: 57

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 LANDING EAGLE (ML=3/1)
#9 RIDE (ML=6/1)


LANDING EAGLE - It looks like Saenz had to be in the know about this gelding on May 5th when riding him for the initial time. Back atop again today.This jock and handler's equines have been generating a positive ROI.My expertise says this is the lone stalker in the race.RIDE - This horse has increased his speed ratings in each of the last two races. That kind of progress is worth considering when its time to bet.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 CASE WON (ML=9/2), #3 FROM NOW ON (ML=5/1), #8 MAUK POWER (ML=6/1)

CASE WON - Granted the last race was strong, finishing third. The lack of any recent activity raises some concerns though.Today's race is 6 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a short distance race in the last couple months. Not the best of omens.FROM NOW ON - Will be hard for this racer to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put him on the questionable contenders list.MAUK POWER - This gelding is always around, but just doesn't finish on top. Difficult to wager on him on the top end.When examining today's Equibase class figure, he will have to garner a much better speed fig than last time around the track to vie in this dirt sprint.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#7 LANDING EAGLE is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [7,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

7 with 9 with [4,6,8] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass
8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#12 TICKATEE TICKATAY (ML=6/1)
#6 DEVIL'S PAY (ML=5/1)
#10 CATLAB (ML=4/1)
#4 DUJAC (ML=7/2)


TICKATEE TICKATAY - I like the way this gelding's finish positions have gotten better with each start recently. A sign of a racer coming into top form.DEVIL'S PAY - The jockey/trainer duo of Contreras and Beavin has a strong return on investment together.CATLAB - Often a pony that runs well on the turf will adore a track with tight turns like Evangeline Downs.DUJAC - He has the highest earnings per start (EPS). Check out this horse.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 SLIDERULER (ML=5/1), #1 BEAU GATOR (ML=6/1), #5 UDOKNOWJACK (ML=8/1)

SLIDERULER - Run-of-the-mill speed figure last time out at Evangeline Downs at 1 mile. Don't feel this racer will improve too much in today's event.BEAU GATOR - Mediocre speed rating last out at Evangeline Downs at 1 mile. Don't feel this mount will improve too much in today's event.UDOKNOWJACK - The speed fig in the last race doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class figure of today's event. Mark this racer as a questionable contender.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #12 TICKATEE TICKATAY to win. Have to have odds of at least 6/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:

Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass
6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,500 Class Rating: 65

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 HAND ME THE CASH (ML=6/1)
#1 BLAKES HAPPINESS (ML=6/1)


HAND ME THE CASH - Just missed hitting the board on May 2nd at Evangeline Downs. With respectable morning line odds in this race, she has my interest.mare is a few starts into a return here. Should give a top effort today.BLAKES HAPPINESS - The jock/handler duo of Hernandez and Thomas has a strong ROI together.It looks like Hernandez had to know this mare on Apr 28th when riding her for the first time. Back atop again today.A pony coming back this quickly after a strong effort is a good sign.Horse has improved at least two speed figure points in last 2 races. I look for that trend to continue in today's race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 HARD HEADED WOMAN (ML=4/1), #10 I'M A GREAT REBEL (ML=5/1), #3 SASSY MALLORY (ML=5/1)

HARD HEADED WOMAN - Hasn't finished in the money in any sprint affairs recently. Doubtful to see her doing it today either.Hasn't raced or had any workouts since Mar 31st. Not much value on this favorite.I'M A GREAT REBEL - This mare notched a rating in her last affair which likely isn't good enough in today's race.SASSY MALLORY - Tough to put your money on the win end of any entrant that finishes second and third as frequently as this thoroughbred does.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Go with #4 HAND ME THE CASH on top if we're getting at least 7/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Skip
8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 85

Rating: Golden Dollar

#2B SAND PIT ROAD (ML=7/2)
#3 KID CREOLE (ML=10/1)


SAND PIT ROAD - Multiple wins over the surface right here at Evangeline Downs. Maybe, another trip to the winner's circle in this event.This horse loves the track here at Evangeline Downs.KID CREOLE - This jockey and trainer are dependable together. Win percentage when teamed up is tough to better.Brinkman has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to beware of the longer priced half.taking a big class drop in class figure points from his April 25th race at Evangeline Downs. Based on that element, I will give this thoroughbred the edge.This mount has a lot of class. A good sign in a race on the grass like we have today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 GREELEY'S DEALER (ML=2/1), #1A ROSE NEEDS A CHECK (ML=2/1), #2 FINAL ARGUMENT (ML=7/2)

GREELEY'S DEALER - When examining today's Equibase class figure, he will have to notch a much better speed figure than last out to be competitive in this turf route.ROSE NEEDS A CHECK - This questionable contender hasn't been near the victor at the wire of late.FINAL ARGUMENT - Don't think this entrant will make a winning move in today's race. That last speed fig was mediocre when compared with today's class rating.

Top HatHal - SAND PIT ROAD - This noble animal should be your wagering choice today. This gelding has posted improving speed figures in his last two events.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#2 Entry to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [2,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

[2,3] with [2,3] with [1,4,5,6,8] Total Cost: $10

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

[2,3] with [2,3] with [1,5,8] with [1,4,5,6,8] Total Cost: $24

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 54

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 KOHENSRISING (ML=9/2)
#14 RANGER CONNECTION (ML=12/1)


KOHENSRISING - This jockey and conditioner have a favorable return on investment when they are put together.Only a bad break can keep this racer from having a chance. Loves the front, is starting from the inside in a sprint race, and we're on a bullring of a track.RANGER CONNECTION - I'm expecting this race horse to run a good one in today's event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 GREEN LAKES (ML=3/1), #12 BABY B GONE (ML=5/1), #5 AGIRLNAMEDSYD (ML=6/1)

GREEN LAKES - Hasn't been on the Evangeline Downs oval in the last two to three weeks. Cause for some concern.BABY B GONE - Can't play this less than sharp equine in today's sprint of 5 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a short distance event recently.should be difficult for this entrant to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put her on the likely underlays list.AGIRLNAMEDSYD - Tough to bet on any pony in a sprint race if she hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last sixty days.The speed figure in the last race doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this mount as a vulnerable contender.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

#4 KOHENSRISING to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [4,14]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None

Today's Money in the Vault Horse is the horse deemed by The Turf Club Analysts to be today's most likely winner. Today's Live Longshot is the horse most likely to make an impact at big odds. On rare occasions the same horse can qualify for both distinctions. Races are rated from one to four gold coins. Four coin races are the races to wager the most money on, while one coin races should be skipped altogether or have a smaller amount wagered on them. For an extensive guide to The Turf Club Analysts reports, go to The Turf Club Analysts.

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