Laurel Park - Saturday, February 21, 2015
We burned the midnight oil to come up with some top choices for you today at Laurel Park. Our associates, Hal and The Turf Man and all the rest are going to help you make some cash today. Grab a pop or a nice, cold light brew, grab a lucky spot, and buckle up for a terrific day.
Today's Money In The Vault Horse: Race 7 - #9 SPECIAL CONGRATS (ML=20/1)
Today's Live Longshot: Race 7 - #9 SPECIAL CONGRATS (ML=20/1)
Laurel Park - Race #1 - Post: 12:30pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 54
#1 INFINITYXINFINITY (ML=7/2)
#3 WOO WOO WARRIOR (ML=7/5)
INFINITYXINFINITY - This pony should go right out to the early lead and may never look back. Could gate to wire the field. Faced tougher in the last race at Penn National. Based on class ratings, this is a weaker group, so I will put this animal on my list of probable winners in this race.
WOO WOO WARRIOR - Last race was at Laurel Park in a race with an Equibase class figure of 62. Dropping drastically in class rating this time out puts him in a solid position in this field. This gelding's last speed rating garnered on Jan 1st is number one in last race speed ratings. This gelding is number one in earnings per race entered. Take a long look at this one in the paddock.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 I'MYOURSUGARDADDY (ML=3/1),
#6 DR BOLT (ML=4/1),
I'MYOURSUGARDADDY - I foretell a setback for this horse in this event.
DR BOLT - This colt hasn't had any strong finishes in short distance races in the last 60 days.
Put your money on #1 INFINITYXINFINITY on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more
Laurel Park - Race #2 - Post: 1:00pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 74
#5 WHOLLY HUGHES (ML=2/1)
#3 REAL JUSTICE (ML=3/1)
WHOLLY HUGHES - Last time he ran at this trip he earned a speed fig good enough to win today's event. When Potts gives Russell a leg up on any horse, you have to feel that with their winning percent you have decidedly more than a fighting chance. This gelding is in exceptional physical condition right now. Ended up third last out and comes back soon. Have to like the way Potts has raced this gelding back into shape off the layoff. Equine is well spotted in this sprint and I think he'll run well today.
REAL JUSTICE - Looking at today's class rating, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier field than last time out at Laurel Park. The ROI when Hole and Corrales team up is good. That 74 fig this gelding registered in his last affair tells me he's a chief player today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 DUNE DANCER (ML=4/1),
#7 PURELY DUNN (ML=9/2),
#8 NEWPORT RED (ML=6/1),
DUNE DANCER - Tough to bet on any animal to turn things around if there is no value to taking the risk.
PURELY DUNN - This gelding has already been conquered as the favorite in back to back races. Hard to give him another chance. Displayed signs of physical problems in the event on Jan 8th at Laurel Park.
NEWPORT RED - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some success lately in short distance races in order to support him. Awfully difficult to bet on this runner when he hasn't been showing any fighting spirit of late.
Bet on #5 WHOLLY HUGHES to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds
Laurel Park - Race #3 - Post: 1:30pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 68
#6 NATE'S DYNAMITE (ML=2/1)
#1 SAINT OR SINNER (ML=9/5)
#3 MOOSETOUPSJAABAR (ML=20/1)
#5 ZILLIONS (ML=6/1)
NATE'S DYNAMITE - The February 7th event at Laurel Park was at a class level of (75). Dropping to a lower class rank drastically, so he should be in a good position. You'll be generating money left and right by turning your racing money onto this rider/trainer combination. This gelding is in good condition, having run a nice race on February 7th, finishing second.
SAINT OR SINNER - Rode this mount on February 1st and Hole is back again in the irons in today's contest. The jockey/handler duo of Hole and Corrales has a strong ROI together. Look at this pattern of improvement. 35/46/68 are the last 3 Equibase speed figures.
MOOSETOUPSJAABAR - If this gelding gets out of the gate cleanly, he'll be tough to catch. This horse has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 25 to 36 to 55 in a row.
ZILLIONS - I like the way this gelding's finish positions have gotten better with each start recently. A sign of a thoroughbred coming into top form. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this racer is up against an easier bunch than last time out at Laurel Park. This gelding is in fine condition, having run a nice race on Feb 7th, finishing third.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SUNSHINE KING (ML=9/2),
#7 WE WILL (ML=6/1),
SUNSHINE KING - Tough to support any horse that runs as well as he did and then lays up and doesn't workout at all. Will not be easy for this horse to beat this group off of that last rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the vulnerable competitors list.
WE WILL - A bit of a lackluster outing when this gelding finished sixth. I cannot play this perpetual non-winner. Gets the assignment fulfilled infrequently. This entrant ran a run-of-the-mill speed rating last time around the track. He shouldn't improve and will probably lose in today's race running that rating.
Play #3 MOOSETOUPSJAABAR to win if you can get odds of 10/1 or more
Laurel Park - Race #4 - Post: 2:00pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 98
#2 MINESCAPE (ML=7/2)
#3 CANAL STREET (ML=6/1)
#1 REGAL WARRIOR (ML=2/1)
MINESCAPE - That 101 fig this horse garnered in his last affair tells me he's a main player this time out.
CANAL STREET - Gelding shipped to this track and won; now goes for back-to-back wins. Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a nice race last time around the track within the last month.
REGAL WARRIOR - This gelding is in good condition, having run a nice race on Feb 6th, finishing first. Have to like this gelding today. If you take a look at his PP lines you see a definite pattern, getting closer with all race. Gelding's last work was second fastest of the day for the distance. This equine is tops in earnings per start. He looks strong in today's race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 WRY ME (ML=8/5),
WRY ME - You should normally wager against morning-line favorites that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last three weeks.
Put your money on #2 MINESCAPE on the nose if you can get odds of 3/1 or more
Box [1,2,3] Total Cost: $6
Laurel Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:29pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 78
#8 BROAD MOON (ML=3/1)
#6 KITTY FREDO (ML=6/1)
BROAD MOON - I like when a race sets up this way. This gelding has the lone early speed to bury this field. Taking a big drop in Equibase class figure points from his Jan 10th race at Penn National. Based on that data point, I will give this thoroughbred the advantage.
KITTY FREDO - Gelding has shown some pace. This shorter distance should be better for him. The December 11th event at Laurel Park was at a class level of (86). Dropping to a lower level a significant amount, so he should be in a good position.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 DRAIN (ML=7/2),
#1 ROTTINGDEAN (GB) (ML=4/1),
#7 FLASH HEART (ML=9/2),
DRAIN - This gelding hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two efforts. You believe this horse is going to win just because he's always close. Just doesn't finish on top regularly.
ROTTINGDEAN (GB) - Tough to wager on any mount to turn things around if there is no reward to taking the chance.
FLASH HEART - You always believe this horse has a shot to cross the finish line in first, but he just misses most every time.
#8 BROAD MOON to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better
Laurel Park - Race #6 - Post: 2:58pm - Allowance - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $42,000 Class Rating: 86
#3 LASAMANAMAMA (ML=5/2)
#1 LITTLE MISS FITZ (ML=2/1)
#2 BONITA LUNA (ML=4/1)
#4 HOLLY'S IMAGE (ML=6/1)
LASAMANAMAMA - Have to give this mare a shot. Ran a strong outing in the last race within the last 30 days. Here is a true horse for the course. Loves the track here at Laurel Park.
LITTLE MISS FITZ - This thoroughbred coming off a good try in the last month is a contender in my book. I believe this animal isn't a natural sprinter. Routing is her best game and those last two sprints should have her set for a big run today. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figures (79-82-88) make this horse a strong contender.
BONITA LUNA - This campaigner coming off a nice effort in the last thirty days is a contender in my opinion. This mare is utmost in EPS (earnings per start). Take a long look at this horse in the paddock. The improved Equibase speed figures over the last 3 races is strong. McClachrie drops her in this affair in shape and ready to win.
HOLLY'S IMAGE - When this jock and handler team up you have to take a look. Toledo and Smith have been great together. Have to make this filly a contender; she comes off a strong effort on January 31st.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 WALK OF STARS (ML=7/2),
WALK OF STARS - There's early speed, zip, and more early speed in this affair. Doesn't look too promising for this horse.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - LASAMANAMAMA - This steed is a contender in today's event. Her last two speed numbers 89 and 87 are better than today's class rating 86.
Can't see anything going off the right odds to bet to win
Laurel Park - Race #7 - Post: 3:27pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 93
#9 SPECIAL CONGRATS (ML=20/1)
SPECIAL CONGRATS - You always have to be on the patrol for money making rider/conditioner tandems; we have one right here. May have to wager on this mount in this event. He has been claimed in each of his last two starts.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 KYLIE'S COZY KID (ML=7/5),
#10 MALIBU DEPUTY (ML=5/2),
#1A FLAVOR (ML=8/1),
KYLIE'S COZY KID - Not easy to support any vulnerable equine in a sprint affair if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple months. Hasn't been on the Laurel Park oval in the last three weeks. Cause for some concern.
FLAVOR - 8/1 odds isn't enough for this one when scrutinizing the most recent outings.
Bet on #9 SPECIAL CONGRATS to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
9 with [2,6]
9 with [2,6] with [1,2,4,6] Total Cost: $6
9 with [1,2,4,6] with [1,2,4,6] with [1,2,4,6] Total Cost: $24
** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
Laurel Park - Race #8 - Post: 3:57pm - Optional Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $42,000 Class Rating: 83
#2 STORMALINA (ML=1/1)
STORMALINA - Good return on investment for this jockey and trainer duo. This filly is number one in earnings per start. Take a long look at this one in the post parade. This equine didn't run well on a sloppy track in her last race at Aqueduct. You may want to overlook that showing.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 JAMMIN WITH JAMIE (ML=3/1),
#7 TOAST OF MAYFAIR (ML=5/1),
#6 BLUE HEN MADNESS (ML=6/1),
JAMMIN WITH JAMIE - Difficult to take this runner at the odds after the finish position (sixth) in the last event.
TOAST OF MAYFAIR - 5/1 odds isn't enough for this horse when scrutinizing the most recent showings.
BLUE HEN MADNESS - She only beat a maiden claiming field in the last event. Have to pass on this one versus winners for now.
GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - STORMALINA - When a horse has a big edge over the rest of the field in TM Power Rating, I make a bet.
Putting our cash on #2 STORMALINA to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though
2 with [1,5]
Laurel Park - Race #9 - Post: 4:27pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 89
#2 PRYCE'S POSSE (ML=9/2)
#5 SEVENTY NINER (ML=2/1)
#8 DUSTERINO (ML=20/1)
#6 DON'S HONOUR (ML=3/1)
#3 DREAM OF SCIPIO (ML=8/1)
PRYCE'S POSSE - This gelding usually does his best running late. Look for him back early in the race and rolling down the lane on the tiring speed horses. That recent bullet 103.6 work shows that this gelding is ready for a top race today.
SEVENTY NINER - Gonzalez drops him down to this class. You don't need too much more from the horse's history to think this one should run well at this level. This gelding is in first-rate condition right now. Finished second last time around the track and comes back promptly.
DUSTERINO - The rider and handler combination here have a high win pct when they combine forces. Look for this one to go gate to wire in victory at some respectable odds right here. Ran fourth in last race, but not more than five from the lead at the end.
DON'S HONOUR - I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a come back. I like that latest race on January 29th at Laurel Park where he ran first. I like the fact that this gelding's last speed fig, 89, is tops in this group.
DREAM OF SCIPIO - Almodovar and Patterson perform well when they join forces. Hard to top a win percentage of 42. Trainer, Patterson, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 MAJESTIC NUMBER (ML=6/1),
MAJESTIC NUMBER - This steed made little impact last time out finishing fifth. Don't expect any betterment in today's event.
Putting our cash on #2 PRYCE'S POSSE to win. Have to have odds of at least 9/2 or better though
[2,5] with [2,5,8] with [2,3,5,6,8] with [2,3,5,6,8] Total Cost: $24
Today's Money in the Vault Horse is the horse deemed by The Turf Club Analysts to be today's most likely winner. Today's Live Longshot is the horse most likely to make an impact at big odds. On rare occasions the same horse can qualify for both distinctions. Races are rated from one to four gold coins. Four coin races are the races to wager the most money on, while one coin races should be skipped altogether or have a smaller amount wagered on them. For an extensive guide to The Turf Club Analysts reports, go to The Turf Club Analysts.
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