Fair Grounds Race 9 for Thursday, November 23, 2017
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Fair Grounds - Race #9 - Post: 3:05pm - Stakes - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $75,000 Class Rating: 113 Thanksgiving H.
#7 BLUE WINGS (ML=20/1)
#4 YOCKEY'S WARRIOR (ML=9/5)
#3 MESOMA (ML=6/1)
#2 CHUBLICIOUS (ML=2/1)
BLUE WINGS - Speed is always important in horse racing, but the lone speed horse is always dangerous. Last workout was the second fastest of the day. Surely on edge for a good one today. This gelding has higher odds on the morning line than the other entrant from the stable of Sharp. Better beware this angle. Last raced at Keeneland carrying 8 lbs more. The lower weight carried in this race should serve him well. YOCKEY'S WARRIOR - When this jockey and conditioner join forces you have to take a look. Mena and Stall have been wonderful together. Changes tracks from last out at Keeneland to here. Multiple wins at different tracks tell me this horse likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign. MESOMA - I cannot ignore the fact that this gelding is working extremely well. The 116 last race speed figure looks sound on paper. CHUBLICIOUS - This thoroughbred picks up a lot of cash per race. I believe he will boost the lifetime total right here. In the last race, ran the last quarter in less than 25 ticks. A pretty good sign he can close well, and should be right there at the wire in today's contest.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 THE TRUTH OR ELSE (ML=3/1), #6 WYETH (ML=8/1),
THE TRUTH OR ELSE - This horse just hasn't looked sharp of late. The Brain tells me to stay away from horses in sprint contests that haven't finished in the money in sprint races lately. A come from behinder like this one needs an early speed duel to set things up and he isn't likely to get one this time around. Will be tough for this entrant to beat this bunch off of that last speed fig. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put him on the likely underpriced equines list. WYETH - Recorded a most unsatisfactory speed figure last out in a $62,500 Optional Claiming race on Oct 22nd. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that number.
Put your money on #7 BLUE WINGS on the nose if you can get odds of 5/1 or more