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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie

Fort Erie - Race 8

WPS, Exactor, Triactor, 20 Cent Superfecta, Late Daily Double

 

Stakes • 1 3/16 Miles • Dirt • Age 3 CR: 97 • Purse: $500,000 • Post: 7:45P
PRINCE OF WALES S. - FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS, FOALED IN CANADA. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $500 EACH TO ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION BY FEBRUARY 1, 2017 (91 ELIGIBLE); TO CONTINUE ELIGIBILITY THE FOLLOWING PAYMENT MUST BE MADE; $1,000 BY JULY 11TH, 2017 (7 ELIGIBLE, PLUS 2 SUPPLEMENTS); AND AN ADDITIONAL $5,000 WHEN MAKING FINAL ENTRY. HORSES NOT ORIGINALLY NOMINATED MAY SUPPLEMENT AT TIME OF FINAL ENTRY FOR $12,500 WHICH INCLUDES THE ENTRY FEE. PURSE TO BE DIVIDED AS SET FORTH BY THE ASSOCIATION. ALL MONIES RECEIVED FROM THE ORIGINAL NOMINATION, FEBRUARY 1, 2017 (91 ELIGIBLE) WILL BE DIVIDED EQUALLY BETWEEN THE GROSS PURSES OF THE QUEEN'S PLATE, PRINCE OF WALES AND BREEDERS' STAKES. SCALE WEIGHT: COLTS AND GELDINGS, 126 LBS.; FILLIES, 121 LBS. FINAL ENTRIES TO BE MADE THROUGH THE ENTRYBOX BY 10:00 A.M. ON JULY 21, 2017. (NO CANADIAN BRED ALLOWANCE) *$350,000 OF THIS PURSE HAS BEEN PROVIDED THROUGH THE THOROUGHBRED IMPROVEMENT PROGRAM . *PLUS UP TO $23,625 ONTARIO BRED/ONTARIO SIRED BREEDER AWARDS FOR THE 1ST., 2ND. AND 3R
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds

Race Type: Lone Stalker. WOODBRIDGE is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * TIZ A SLAM: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. STATE OF HONOR: Horse has the highest Tr ackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. AURORA WAY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designa tion or an "L" designation. WOODBRIDGE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days.
5
TIZ A SLAM
8/5
9/2
4
STATE OF HONOR
5/2
6/1
2
AURORA WAY
6/1
8/1
3
WOODBRIDGE
7/2
8/1
 
 

P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
4
STATE OF HONOR
4
5/2
Front-runner
100
88
106.4
80.4
77.4
2
AURORA WAY
2
6/1
Front-runner
80
89
84.1
82.2
76.2
3
WOODBRIDGE
3
7/2
Alternator/Stalker
95
89
72.6
77.4
68.9
5
TIZ A SLAM
5
8/5
Trailer
99
88
81.8
86.0
82.5
1
SPIRIT OF CALEDON
1
12/1
Alternator/Trailer
83
85
75.0
81.2
70.2
6
COOL CATOMINE
6
12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
83
84
75.0
74.5
63.5
7
JUROJIN
7
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
81
79
59.8
76.2
63.7
 
 


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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 4

EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA * DAILY DOUBLE(Races 4-5) * PICK 5 WITH CARRYOVER (50 Cent Minimum: Races 4-5-6-7-8)

 

Allowance • 1 Mile 40 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 69 • Purse: $19,200 • Post: 2:31P
FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A STATE BRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OPTIONAL, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JUNE 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE MAY 25 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds

Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * LADY MARLENA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TARAMISLEW: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. TIME FOR A PARTY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. NIGHT MADAM: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TRAIPSE IN UTO PIA: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
4
LADY MARLENA
3/1
9/2
5
TARAMISLEW
6/1
7/1
6
TIME FOR A PARTY
8/1
7/1
7
NIGHT MADAM
7/2
9/1
1
TRAIPSE IN UTOPIA
6/1
9/1
 
 

P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
4
LADY MARLENA
4
3/1
Front-runner
75
71
57.2
66.6
61.6
6
TIME FOR A PARTY
6
8/1
Alternator/Front-runner
68
64
49.0
67.3
59.8
3
PATRIOT LADY
3
4/1
Stalker
58
62
43.8
58.1
46.1
1
TRAIPSE IN UTOPIA
1
6/1
Alternator/Stalker
84
77
58.8
37.0
24.5
5
TARAMISLEW
5
6/1
Alternator/Stalker
77
70
57.8
61.2
56.2
7
NIGHT MADAM
7
7/2
Trailer
74
65
54.2
64.4
60.4
8
REAL DEAL LADY
8
10/1
Trailer
69
62
43.6
53.0
40.5
2
ARRHYTHMIC
2
15/1
Trailer
59
51
38.0
54.4
43.4
 
 


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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fairmount Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.



Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5000 Class Rating: 72

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2017 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 25 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 25 ALLOWED 6 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 TWIRLING MILLIE 7/2

# 4 ARTIC VORTEX 8/5

# 3 CAROL'S A CASE 9/5

I lean toward TWIRLING MILLIE here. She looks solid in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. ARTIC VORTEX - She has been running admirably lately while recording strong Speed Figures. Seems to have a quite good class edge based on the latest company kept. CAROL'S A CASE - Could provide positive dividends based on formidable recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 64. Is a contender - given the 66 speed figure from her most recent race.



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Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #3 - Post: 4:09pm - Maiden Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $8,500 Class Rating: 61

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 ZAR'S STAR (ML=4/1)
#6 STERLING APPEAL (ML=10/1)


ZAR'S STAR - I usually like playing sprint horses who are 3-4 races into a return. I expect a lot from this thoroughbred. His speed ratings under similar conditions are tops in this group. The horse with the top average class figure in turf events is usually a solid play. This racer fits the bill. This horse collects a lot of dough per start. I believe he will boost the lifetime bankroll in this event. STERLING APPEAL - I really like sprinters that make a fast turnaround. Looking at today's Equibase class figure, this pony is up against an easier bunch than in the last race at Lone Star Park.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 A CROWN FOR BEAU (ML=9/5), #4 COFFEE CUP (ML=3/1), #3 TWO DATE (ML=6/1),

A CROWN FOR BEAU - A strong horse that's been running well, but he's been off the track in the mornings lately. COFFEE CUP - This gelding is always close, but just doesn't win. Tough to play him on the top end. Don't feel this horse will do much running in today's race. That last speed rating was quite unimpressive when compared with today's class figure. TWO DATE - Just don't believe he is worth it at the likely odds.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #1 ZAR'S STAR to win. Have to have odds of at least 7/5 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [1,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

Pass



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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.



Race 5 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6200 Class Rating: 59

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 25 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 DUNKIRK SURVIVOR 2/1

# 3 CHARLIES WATCHIN 7/2

# 5 WHITE LACE LADY 5/1

I give the nod to DUNKIRK SURVIVOR here. Will probably come out sharp - I have liked the way this filly has moved sharply to the front end recently. Could beat this group of horses in this race given the 50 Equibase Speed Fig garnered in her last outing. WHITE LACE LADY - Could best this field based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 59 - of her last contest.



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Handicapped by Valuline at Presque Isle Downs

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Presque Isle Downs, Race 6 (Tuesday July 25, 2017)

GREAT
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

PID-6 1mi-70 ALLW           Six Horses
"A" MSW 3YUP $27,000
P# ex p3 t ML WP TVL 5 GREAT 7/5 36% 9/5 Strong Favorite icon
6 SON WILL 5/2 25% 3/1
4 MYTHMAKER 8/5 20% 4/1




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Bar

Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:55pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 88

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 PICOZZA (ML=6/1)
#8 CHIPPEWAWHITECHIEF (ML=5/1)
#1 ONE SIDED (ML=5/2)
#7 MAVERICKS GUN (ML=8/1)


PICOZZA - This jockey and handler have a lucrative return on investment when they work together. CHIPPEWAWHITECHIEF - The jockey/conditioner duo of Gonzalez and Moore has a strong ROI together. ONE SIDED - I like when a pony wins after shipping in from elsewhere. It shows that they really like the track here. I'll take this horse to win again. Garcia is up for another event today after riding aboard this animal for the 1st time on July 10th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. EPS (earnings per start) is something that I believe can be a crucial handicapping factor. This thoroughbred is ranked the highest in this group. I like the fact that this horse's last fig, 84, is tops in this field. MAVERICKS GUN - Last workout was the second fastest of the day. Unquestionably on edge for a good one today. Velazquez has an 'uncoupled' entry here. Best to watch out for the longer priced half.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 STAR OF SARAVA (ML=7/2), #2 SIR SIDNEY (ML=9/2), #5 BECAUSE I'M HAPPY (ML=8/1),

STAR OF SARAVA - Finished fourth in his most recent performance with a substandard speed rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field. SIR SIDNEY - Don't think this less than sharp equine will make an impact in today's race. That last fig was most unsatisfactory when compared with today's class figure. BECAUSE I'M HAPPY - Tough to bet on at 8/1 odds after the two most recent outings. Finished fourth in his most recent effort with a mediocre speed rating. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this field.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - PICOZZA - I'm making a wager on this one today. An easier group is going to make a big difference. Will be competitive today.
 
 
 


STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Putting our cash on #3 PICOZZA to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:

Box [3,8] Box [3,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:

None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

None



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